2020 Washington gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
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Several [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] politicians have announced their own campaigns to challenge Inslee, including businessman Anton Sakharov, [[Republic, Washington|Republic]] police chief Loren Culp, and [[Washington State Senate|state senator]] [[Phil Fortunato]].<ref name="chief run">{{cite web |last1=Robinson |first1=Erin |title=Republic police chief announces run for governor |url=https://www.kxly.com/news/republic-police-chief-announces-run-for-governor/1100205481 |publisher=KXLY |accessdate=August 2, 2019 |date=July 26, 2019}}</ref><ref name="fort gear">{{Cite web |url=https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/gop-state-senator-phil-fortunato-gears-up-for-governor-run/ |title=GOP State Senator Phil Fortunato gears up for governor run |date=August 5, 2019 |work=The Seattle Times |language=en-US|access-date=August 6, 2019}}</ref> |
Several [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] politicians have announced their own campaigns to challenge Inslee, including businessman Anton Sakharov, [[Republic, Washington|Republic]] police chief Loren Culp, and [[Washington State Senate|state senator]] [[Phil Fortunato]].<ref name="chief run">{{cite web |last1=Robinson |first1=Erin |title=Republic police chief announces run for governor |url=https://www.kxly.com/news/republic-police-chief-announces-run-for-governor/1100205481 |publisher=KXLY |accessdate=August 2, 2019 |date=July 26, 2019}}</ref><ref name="fort gear">{{Cite web |url=https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/gop-state-senator-phil-fortunato-gears-up-for-governor-run/ |title=GOP State Senator Phil Fortunato gears up for governor run |date=August 5, 2019 |work=The Seattle Times |language=en-US|access-date=August 6, 2019}}</ref> |
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====Advanced to General Election==== |
====Advanced to General Election==== |
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*[[Jay Inslee]], [[incumbent]] [[Governor of Washington]] and former candidate for [[President of the United States]] in [[2020 United States presidential election|2020]]<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1164573405753958400 |user=JayInslee |title=That’s why, today, I’m announcing my intention to run for a third term as Washington's governor. Join me. |date=August 22, 2019}}</ref> |
*[[Jay Inslee]], [[incumbent]] [[Governor of Washington]] and former candidate for [[President of the United States]] in [[2020 United States presidential election|2020]]<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1164573405753958400 |user=JayInslee |title=That’s why, today, I’m announcing my intention to run for a third term as Washington's governor. Join me. |date=August 22, 2019}}</ref> |
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*[[Hilary Franz]], [[Washington State Department of Natural Resources#Commissioner of Public Lands|Washington Commissioner of Public Lands]] (running for reelection)<ref name="inslee bid"/><ref name="Ambitions" /> |
*[[Hilary Franz]], [[Washington State Department of Natural Resources#Commissioner of Public Lands|Washington Commissioner of Public Lands]] (running for reelection)<ref name="inslee bid"/><ref name="Ambitions" /> |
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==Republican candidates== |
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====Advanced to General Election==== |
====Advanced to General Election==== |
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*Loren Culp, police chief of the city of [[Republic, Washington]], and U.S. Army veteran<ref name="chief run"/> |
*Loren Culp, police chief of the city of [[Republic, Washington]], and U.S. Army veteran<ref name="chief run"/> |
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*[[J.T. Wilcox]], minority leader of the Washington House of Representatives<ref name=":5" /> |
*[[J.T. Wilcox]], minority leader of the Washington House of Representatives<ref name=":5" /> |
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==Other candidates== |
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===Green Party=== |
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====Eliminated in Primary==== |
====Eliminated in Primary==== |
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*Liz Hallock, attorney<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://newdealwashington.com/|title=Liz Hallock – A New Deal for Washington|language=en-US|access-date=2020-01-23}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last1=Talamo |first1=Lex |title=Liz Hallock running for Washington governor as a Green Party candidate |url=https://www.yakimaherald.com/news/elections/liz-hallock-running-for-washington-governor-as-a-green-party/article_ce131d2e-743b-5674-aef4-7af38f4ff7ad.html |website=Yakima Herald-Republic |accessdate=February 20, 2020 |date=February 17, 2020}}</ref> |
*Liz Hallock, attorney<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://newdealwashington.com/|title=Liz Hallock – A New Deal for Washington|language=en-US|access-date=2020-01-23}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last1=Talamo |first1=Lex |title=Liz Hallock running for Washington governor as a Green Party candidate |url=https://www.yakimaherald.com/news/elections/liz-hallock-running-for-washington-governor-as-a-green-party/article_ce131d2e-743b-5674-aef4-7af38f4ff7ad.html |website=Yakima Herald-Republic |accessdate=February 20, 2020 |date=February 17, 2020}}</ref> |
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===Independents=== |
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====Eliminated in Primary==== |
====Eliminated in Primary==== |
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*Cregan Newhouse, City of Seattle Consumer Protection Division acting manager and former public television director<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.cregannewhouse.com/}}</ref> |
*Cregan Newhouse, City of Seattle Consumer Protection Division acting manager and former public television director<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.cregannewhouse.com/}}</ref> |
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====Withdrew==== |
====Withdrew==== |
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*Asa Palagi, Army officer and businessman<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.pdc.wa.gov/browse/campaign-explorer/candidate?filer_id=PALAA--420&election_year=2020|title=Asa Palagi, 2020|last=|first=|date=|website=|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Independent Candidate Asa Palagi Withdraws From Washington State's Gubernatorial Race and Slams Government Shutdowns - Press Release - Digital Journal|url=http://www.digitaljournal.com/pr/4698206|access-date=2020-06-24|website=www.digitaljournal.com}}</ref> |
*Asa Palagi, Army officer and businessman<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.pdc.wa.gov/browse/campaign-explorer/candidate?filer_id=PALAA--420&election_year=2020|title=Asa Palagi, 2020|last=|first=|date=|website=|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Independent Candidate Asa Palagi Withdraws From Washington State's Gubernatorial Race and Slams Government Shutdowns - Press Release - Digital Journal|url=http://www.digitaljournal.com/pr/4698206|access-date=2020-06-24|website=www.digitaljournal.com}}</ref> |
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===Polling=== |
===Polling=== |
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Revision as of 04:38, 5 August 2020
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| Elections in Washington |
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The 2020 Washington gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Washington, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The top-two primary is scheduled for August 4.
Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits; incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee is eligible to run for a third term.[1] Inslee initially launched a campaign for President of the United States in the 2020 election. When he dropped out of that race in August 2019, he announced he would seek a third term.[2] Several other Democratic political figures considered entering the race if Inslee did not run, including Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson, but no Democrats have challenged him.[3] Jay Inslee is the first governor to seek a third term since 1972.
Background
Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, the longest streak of Democratic-party leadership of any state in the country and the third longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota, which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979, and Utah, which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985.[4][5][6] Incumbent Governor Jay Inslee, who previously served in the U.S. House, was first elected to the governorship in the 2012 election and won reelection in 2016.
When Inslee announced his candidacy for President, several political figures expressed interest in running for Governor if Inslee won the Democratic primaries. These included Attorney General Bob Ferguson, Commissioner of Public Lands Hilary Franz and King County executive Dow Constantine.[7] They stated they would only run if Inslee was not, avoiding a primary challenge.[8][9] So far, Jay Inslee is the sole major Democratic candidate.
Several Republican politicians have announced their own campaigns to challenge Inslee, including businessman Anton Sakharov, Republic police chief Loren Culp, and state senator Phil Fortunato.[10][11]
Democratic candidates
Advanced to General Election
- Jay Inslee, incumbent Governor of Washington and former candidate for President of the United States in 2020[12]
Declined
- Dow Constantine, King County executive[13][14]
- Bob Ferguson, Washington Attorney General (running for reelection)[9][14]
- Hilary Franz, Washington Commissioner of Public Lands (running for reelection)[8][14]
Republican candidates
Advanced to General Election
- Loren Culp, police chief of the city of Republic, Washington, and U.S. Army veteran[10]
Eliminated in Primary
- Tim Eyman, activist, initiative promoter[15]
- Phil Fortunato, state senator[11]
- Joshua Freed, former mayor of Bothell[16]
- Raul Garcia, emergency physician[17]
- Leon Lawson[18]
- Nate Herzog, former Lake Forest Park city councilman[19]
- Anton Sakharov, program manager[20]
Declined
- Bill Bryant, former Seattle Port Commissioner and nominee for Governor of Washington in 2016[21]
- Bruce Dammeier, Pierce County executive[22]
- Doug Ericksen, state senator[23]
- Drew C. MacEwen, state representative[24]
- Dori Monson, radio personality[25]
- Dave Reichert, former U.S. Representative for Washington's 8th congressional district[26]
- Drew Stokesbary, state representative[22]
- J.T. Wilcox, minority leader of the Washington House of Representatives[22]
Other candidates
Green Party
Eliminated in Primary
Independents
Eliminated in Primary
- Cregan Newhouse, City of Seattle Consumer Protection Division acting manager and former public television director[29]
Withdrew
Primary election
Washington State is one of few states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two move on to the general election. Most states have party primaries.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Tim Eyman (R) |
Loren Culp (R) |
Phil Fortunato (R) |
Joshua Freed (R) |
Anton Sakharov (R) |
Raul Garcia (R) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | July 22–27, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 55% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 6% | – | 4% | 16% |
| Crosscut/Elway | July 11–15, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 4% | 14% | 2% | 5% | – | 6% | 24% |
| SurveyUSA | May 16–19, 2020 | 650 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 50% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 23% |
| SurveyUSA | January 26–28, 2020 | 1,103 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | – | 34% |
| Crosscut/Elway | December 26–29, 2019 | 405 (RV) | ± 5% | 46% | 7%[b] | 4% | 4% | 5% | – | – | 34% |
Among Democrats
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Among Republican voters
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Among independent voters
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Hypothetical polling
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Results
 | This section may require cleanup to meet Wikipedia's quality standards. The specific problem is: not all candidates are in the results box. (August 2020) |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jay Inslee (incumbent) | 646,880 | 51.9% | |
| Republican | Loren Culp | 208,699 | 16.8% | |
| Republican | Joshua Freed | 90,434 | 7.3% | |
| Republican | Tim Eyman | 87,812 | 7.1% | |
| Republican | Raul Garcia | 62,495 | 5.0% | |
| Republican | Phil Fortunato | 50,737 | 4.1% | |
| Republican | Leon Lawson | 15,579 | 1.3% | |
| Green | Liz Hallock | 8,777 | 0.7% | |
| Republican | Anton Sakharov | 8,212 | 0.7% | |
| Republican | Nate Herzog | 4,644 | 0.4% | |
| Independent | Cregan M. Newhouse | 1,064 | 0.1% | |
| Total votes | 1,245,403 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[32] | Safe D | April 3, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[33] | Safe D | June 19, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Safe D | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico[35] | Safe D | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[36] | Safe D | July 22, 2020 |
| RCP[37] | Safe D | June 13, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Loren Culp (R) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | July 22–27, 2020 | 534 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 61% | 32% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA | May 16–19, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 56% | 31% | 13% |
Hypothetical polling
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jay Inslee (incumbent) | ||||
| Republican | Loren Culp | ||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | 100.0 | ||||
Notes
References
- ^ Merica, Dan (March 1, 2019). "Washington Gov. Jay Inslee announces 2020 presidential bid". Retrieved March 1, 2019.
- ^ CNN, Dan Merica and Paul LeBlanc (August 22, 2019). "Washington Gov. Jay Inslee drops out of presidential race". CNN. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
{{cite news}}:|last1=has generic name (help) - ^ Gutman, David (August 22, 2019). "With Inslee running again for governor, leading Washington state Democrats put their ambitions on hold". The Seattle Times. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
- ^ Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "achary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
- ^ Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
- ^ Camden, Jim (January 16, 2018). "John Spellman, Washington's last Republican governor, dies". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
- ^ "King County Executive Dow Constantine not ruling out run for governor". KING 5 News. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
- ^ a b Axelrod, Tal (August 22, 2019). "Inslee to announce bid for third term as Washington governor: report". The Hill. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
- ^ a b Smay, Ian (August 22, 2019). "Bob Ferguson announces decision to run for another term as Washington Attorney General". KING 5 News. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
- ^ a b Robinson, Erin (July 26, 2019). "Republic police chief announces run for governor". KXLY. Retrieved August 2, 2019.
- ^ a b "GOP State Senator Phil Fortunato gears up for governor run". The Seattle Times. August 5, 2019. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
- ^ @JayInslee (August 22, 2019). "That's why, today, I'm announcing my intention to run for a third term as Washington's governor. Join me" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "King County Executive Dow Constantine not ruling out run for governor". KING. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
- ^ a b c Gutman, David (August 22, 2019). "With Inslee running again for governor, leading Washington state Democrats put their ambitions on hold". The Seattle Times. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
- ^ Brunner, Jim (February 13, 2020). "Tim Eyman says he'll run for governor as Republican, not independent". The Seattle Times. Retrieved February 15, 2020.
- ^ Brunner, Jim (September 6, 2019). "Former Bothell Mayor Joshua Freed to run for governor, citing homelessness crisis". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 6, 2019.
- ^ Garcia, Raul (May 15, 2020). "Raul Garcia for WA State Governor". Raul Garcia. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- ^ "Washington State Primary Election Results 2020". New York Times. Retrieved August 4, 2020.
- ^ Drew, James (May 15, 2020). "Heres who's running statewide in the Aug. 4 primary election (and in a hot congressional race)". The News Tribune. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
- ^ Brunner, Jim (September 1, 2019). "As Washington state Republicans struggle to field 2020 candidates, Reichert eyes run for governor". Seattle Times. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
- ^ Brunner, Jim (June 24, 2019). "Who will Washington's next governor be? Uncertainty over Inslee creates pileup of politicians, domino effects down ballot". The Seattle Times. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
- ^ a b c "With Jay Inslee running for president, here's who might lead WA next". Crosscut.com. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
- ^ "As Governor Inslee eyes White House, who could take his place in 2020?". Q13 FOX News. March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 1, 2019.
- ^ Radio, iFiberone News. "2018 CANDIDATE CONVERSATION - DREW MacEWEN". iFIBER ONE News Radio. Retrieved October 21, 2018.
- ^ "Dori: Why I might just run for governor after all". Retrieved October 1, 2019.
- ^ Connelly, Joel (September 3, 2019). "Former U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert says he won't run for Washington governor -- yet again". Seattle Post-Intelligencer. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
- ^ "Liz Hallock – A New Deal for Washington". Retrieved January 23, 2020.
- ^ Talamo, Lex (February 17, 2020). "Liz Hallock running for Washington governor as a Green Party candidate". Yakima Herald-Republic. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
- ^ https://www.cregannewhouse.com/.
{{cite web}}: Missing or empty|title=(help) - ^ "Asa Palagi, 2020".
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Independent Candidate Asa Palagi Withdraws From Washington State's Gubernatorial Race and Slams Government Shutdowns - Press Release - Digital Journal". www.digitaljournal.com. Retrieved June 24, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved March 16, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Governor". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. August 22, 2019. Retrieved September 26, 2019.
- ^ "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Poltico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Govenor's Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.