1951 Australian federal election
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All 123[b] seats of the House of Representatives 61 seats were needed for a majority in the House All 60 seats of the Senate | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 4,962,675  1.38% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 4,654,406 (96.00%)[a] ( 0.03 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Results by division for the House of Representatives, shaded by winning party's margin of victory. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 1951 Australian federal election was held in Australia on 28 April 1951. All 121 seats in the House of Representatives and all 60 seats in the Senate were up for election, due to a double dissolution called after the Senate rejected the Commonwealth Bank Bill.[1] The incumbent Liberal–Country coalition led by Prime Minister Robert Menzies defeated the opposition Labor Party led by Ben Chifley with a modestly reduced majority,[2] and secured a majority in the Senate.[3] Chifley died just over a month after the election. This was the sixth and last federal election prior to the death of George VI a year later.
Issues
[edit]Although the Coalition had won a comfortable majority in the House in 1949, Labor still had a four-seat majority in the Senate. Chifley thus made it his business to obstruct Menzies's agenda at every opportunity. Realizing this, Menzies sought to call a double dissolution at the first opportunity in hopes of gaining control of both houses. He thought he had his chance in 1950, when he introduced a bill to ban the Australian Communist Party. However, after a redraft, Chifley let the bill pass.
A few months later, the Senate rejected the Commonwealth Bank Bill 1950, in which the Coalition government aimed to establish a "Commonwealth Bank Board", which Labor believed would be filled with private banking interests.[4] This finally gave Menzies an excuse to call a double dissolution. While the Coalition lost five House seats to Labor, it still had a solid mandate. More importantly, it picked up six Senate seats, giving it control over both chambers.
The 1951 election was the first double dissolution election since single transferable vote with proportional representation became the method for electing the Senate in 1949. With close opinion polls and no minor parties having a credible chance of winning a seat, it was feared and forecast that under the new system the Senate would finish deadlocked at 30–30, since the 54.55% majority that either major party required to win a sixth Senate seat from any single state was greater than polling margins,[5][6] and there were proposals for further amendments to Senate voting rules ahead of the election, none of which were passed.[7] In the end, Queensland and Western Australia elected 6–4 Senator majorities to the Coalition; the other states were tied 5–5.[8]
Results
[edit]House of Representatives
[edit]
| Party | Votes | % | Swing | Seats | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal–Country coalition | 2,298,512 | 50.34 | +0.08 | 69 | –5 | ||
| Liberal | 1,854,799 | 40.62 | +1.23 | 52 | –3 | ||
| Country | 443,713 | 9.72 | –1.15 | 17 | –2 | ||
| Labor | 2,174,840 | 47.63 | +1.65 | 54[c] | +6 | ||
| Communist | 44,782 | 0.98 | +0.09 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Independents | 47,765 | 1.05 | –1.11 | 0 | –1 | ||
| Total | 4,565,899 | 123 | |||||
| Two-party-preferred (estimated) | |||||||
| Liberal–Country coalition | Win | 50.70 | −0.30 | 69 | −5 | ||
| Labor | 49.30 | +0.30 | 52 | +5 | |||
- Notes
- Three members were elected unopposed – two Labor and one Liberal.
Senate
[edit]| Party | Votes | % | Swing | Seats won | Seats held | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal–Country coalition | 2,198,687 | 49.70 | –0.71 | 32 | 32 | +6 | ||
| Liberal–Country joint ticket | 1,925,631 | 43.52 | –1.12 | 22 | N/A | N/A | ||
| Liberal | 273,056 | 6.17 | +0.41 | 10 | 26 | +5 | ||
| Country | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 6 | +1 | ||
| Labor | 2,029,751 | 45.88 | +0.99 | 28 | 28 | −6 | ||
| Communist | 93,561 | 2.11 | +0.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Lang Labor | 60,549 | 1.37 | +1.37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Protestant People's | 13,090 | 0.30 | –0.59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Henry George Justice | 6,015 | 0.14 | +0.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Independents | 22,584 | 0.51 | –1.20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total | 4,424,237 | 60 | 60 | |||||
Seats changing hands
[edit]| Seat | Pre-1951 | Swing | Post-1951 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Member | Margin | Margin | Member | Party | ||||
| Australian Capital Territory, ACT | Independent | Lewis Nott | 3.8 | 6.7 | 2.9 | Jim Fraser | Labor | ||
| Ballaarat, Vic | Liberal | Alan Pittard | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | Bob Joshua | Labor | ||
| Hume, NSW | Country | Charles Anderson | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | Arthur Fuller | Labor | ||
| Kingston, SA | Liberal | Jim Handby | 1.6 | 3.4 | 1.8 | Pat Galvin | Labor | ||
| Leichhardt, Qld | Country | Tom Gilmore | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | Harry Bruce | Labor | ||
| Wannon, Vic | Liberal | Dan Mackinnon | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | Don McLeod | Labor | ||
Opinion polling
[edit]
| Date published | Pollster | Liberal–Country | Labor | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 April 1951 | 1951 election | 50.34% | 47.63% | 2.03% | 2.71% |
| April 1951[9] | Gallup | 49% | 43% | 1% | 6% |
| March 1951[9] | Gallup | 49% | 44% | 1% | 5% |
| December 1950[10][9] | Gallup | 52% | 47% | 1% | 5% |
| November 1950[11] | Gallup | 50% | 49% | 1% | 1% |
| August 1950[11] | Gallup | 57% | 42% | 1% | 15% |
| 5 May 1950[12] | Gallup | 54% | 46% | 1% | 9% |
| April 1950[13] | Gallup | 54% | 46% | — | 8% |
| 24 March 1950[12] | Gallup | 54% | 46% | — | 8% |
| February 1950[13][12] | Gallup | 56% | 44% | — | 12% |
| 10 December 1949 | 1949 election | 50.26% | 45.98% | 3.76% | 4.28% |
See also
[edit]- Candidates of the 1951 Australian federal election
- Members of the Australian House of Representatives, 1951–1954
- Members of the Australian Senate, 1951–1953
Notes
[edit]- ^ Turnout in contested seats
- ^ The Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory each had one seat, but members for the territories did not have full voting rights until 1966 and did not count toward government formation.
- ^ Including Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory
References
[edit]- ^ "Chapter 21 – Relations with the House of Representatives". Odgers' Australian Senate Practice (14th ed.). Parliament of Australia. Simultaneous dissolutions of 1951. Retrieved 3 September 2022.
- ^ "1951 House of Representatives". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
- ^ "Federal Election Results 1949-1993" (PDF). Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 28 June 2018.
- ^ "Commonwealth Bank Bill". Cairns Post. 23 June 1950. p. 1. Retrieved 5 September 2022 – via Trove.
- ^ "Referendum to avoid Senate deadlock". The Canberra Times. 5 May 1950. p. 4.
- ^ "People and Senate". The Herald. 20 March 1951. p. 4.
- ^ "New deadlock looms". The Sydney Morning Herald. 5 March 1951. p. 1.
- ^ "The Federal mandate". The West Australian. 25 May 1951. p. 2.
- ^ a b c "Gallup Poll Gives It To Menzies". The Daily News. Vol. LXIX, no. 23, 724. Western Australia, Australia. 27 April 1951. p. 1. Retrieved 15 June 2023 – via National Library of Australia.
- ^ "Gallup Poll". The Advertiser. Vol. 93, no. 28, 780. South Australia, Australia. 6 January 1951. p. 12. Retrieved 15 June 2023 – via National Library of Australia.
- ^ a b "Gallup Poll". The Advertiser. Vol. 93, no. 28, 743. South Australia. 23 November 1950. p. 4. Retrieved 15 June 2023 – via National Library of Australia.
- ^ a b c "Gallup Poll". The Advertiser. Vol. 92, no. 28, 589. South Australia, Australia. 27 May 1950. p. 3. Retrieved 15 June 2023 – via National Library of Australia.
- ^ a b "Gallup opinion". The Courier-Mail. No. 4182. Queensland, Australia. 22 April 1950. p. 5. Retrieved 15 June 2023 – via National Library of Australia.
- University of WA Archived 18 January 2015 at the Wayback Machine election results in Australia since 1890
- AEC 2PP vote
- Prior to 1984 the AEC did not undertake a full distribution of preferences for statistical purposes. The stored ballot papers for the 1983 election were put through this process prior to their destruction. Therefore, the figures from 1983 onwards show the actual result based on full distribution of preferences.
