2020 Dominican Republic general election
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| Turnout | 55.29% ( 14.31pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Dominican Republic portal |
General elections were held in the Dominican Republic on 5 July 2020 to elect a president, vice-president, 32 senators and 190 deputies. They had originally been planned for 17 May, but were postponed due to the coronavirus pandemic.[1][2] They are the second elections since 1994 in which all positions will be elected simultaneously, and the first in Dominican history in which all authorities will be elected simultaneously and directly.[3][4][5][6]
Incumbent President Danilo Medina was ineligible to stand for re-election, having served two consecutive terms since 2012. The governing Dominican Liberation Party's 16-year rule ended after Modern Revolutionary Party candidate Luis Abinader received a majority of the vote.[7] Rival candidates Gonzalo Castillo and Leonel Fernández also conceded defeat.[7] The Modern Revolutionary Party also won a majority of seats in the Senate and a plurality in the Chamber of Deputies. The election was a partial realignment, with the Modern Revolutionary Party entering a status as a major party in the country, replacing the Dominican Revolutionary Party, who saw poor election results for the second election in a row and who obtained its lowest total vote share and seat count in its history. Abinader would be officially sworn in as President on 16 August.[8]
Electoral system
[edit]The President of the Dominican Republic is elected using the two-round system; if no candidate receives 50% + 1 vote, or more, of the total votes, a second-round runoff will be held between the two candidates with the highest votes on the first round.
The 32 members of the Senate are elected from the 31 provinces and the Distrito Nacional using first-past-the-post voting.[9]
The 190 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected in three groups; 178 are elected by proportional representation from 32 multi-member constituencies based on the 31 provinces and the Distrito Nacional, with the number of seats based on the population of each province. A further seven members are elected by proportional representation by Dominican expatriates in 3 overseas constituencies, and five seats are allocated at the national level to parties that received at least 1% of the vote nationally, giving preference to those that did not win any of the 178 constituency seats.[10]
The 20 seats in the Central American Parliament are elected by proportional representation.
Presidential candidates
[edit]| Party | Presidential candidate | Vice presidential candidate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominican Liberation Party (PLD) | Gonzalo Castillo[11] | Margarita Cedeño | |
| Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) | Luis Abinader[11] | Raquel Peña | |
| Fuerza del Pueblo (FP) | Leonel Fernández | Sergia Elena Mejía | |
| Alianza País (ALPAÍS) | Guillermo Moreno García[11] | Agustín González Morel | |
| National Citizen Will Party (PNVC) | Juan Cohen | Hugo McFarlane Kaluche | |
| Partido Demócrata Institucional (PDI) | Ismael Reyes Cruz | Frank Gene Troncoso Haché | |
Opinion polls
[edit]President
[edit]| Pollster | Date(s) | Castillo (PLD) |
Abinader (PRM) |
Fernandez (FP) |
Moreno (ALPAIS) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centro Económico del Cibao | 11–13 Oct 2019 | 29.7% | 43.7% | 23.6% | — |
| Centro Económico del Cibao | 3–5 Nov 2019 | 31% | 42.9% | 18.4% | 1.9% |
| Centro Economico del Cibao[12][13] | 29 Nov –1 Dec 2019 | 25.6% | 46.6% | 24.4% | — |
| Pool Logistic SRL | 1–5 Dec 2019 | 49% | 36% | 3.9% | — |
| Ideame | 3–10 Dec 2019 | 31.8% | 47.5% | 18.3% | — |
| ABC Marketing[permanent dead link] | 10–14 Dec 2019 | 22.6% | 47.3% | 20.9% | — |
| Sigma Dos | 15–17 Dec 2019 | 39.9% | 35% | 8% | — |
| Mark Penn/Stagwell[permanent dead link] | 8–10 Jan 2020 | 28% | 43% | 19% | — |
| Gallup-RD | 16–21 Jan 2020 | 31.4% | 42.2% | 15.5% | 1.2% |
| Gallup-Hoy | 16–21 Jan 2020 | 31.7% | 44.9% | 19.3% | — |
| CIES International | 31 Jan–2 Feb 2020 | 35% | 37% | 11% | 3% |
| Greenberg-Diario Libre | 21–24 Feb 2020 | 24% | 52% | 17% | 2% |
| CIES International | 23–25 Feb 2020 | 28.8% | 43.7% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| CIMERAN< | 28–29 Feb 2020 | 25% | 52.5% | 17.5% | 3.5% |
| Centro Económico del Cibao | 28 Feb–5 Mar 2020 | 21.0% | 55.1% | 15.6% | — |
| Sigma Dos | 2–7 Apr 2020 | 38.8% | 36.6% | 9.6% | — |
| Horizon Research LLC | 7 Apr 2020 | 23.6% | 43.9% | 31.2% | — |
| Global Trend Research | 12–15 Apr 2020 | 22.9% | 43.1% | 30.4% | 0.8% |
| ASISA | 13–19 Apr 2020 | 20.4% | 44% | 29.1% | — |
| JB Consulting Group | 14–20 Apr 2020 | 46.6% | 31.1% | 3.6% | — |
| APD Consulting Group | 17–20 Apr 2020 | 24.1% | 54.4% | 11.8% | 4.6% |
| CIES International | 17–20 Apr 2020 | 33% | 39% | 9% | 4% |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 18–19 Apr 2020 | 23.7% | 53.4% | 7.3% | 1% |
| Polimetrics | 22–25 Apr 2020 | 40.8% | 38.3% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| CID Latinoamericana | 22–23 Apr 2020 | 40% | 38% | 8% | — |
| New Partners | 23–26 Apr 2020 | 27.4% | 52.1% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| Market Reports | 25–27 Apr 2020 | 22.4% | 42.8% | 31.2% | — |
| Mercado & Cuantificaciones | 27–29 Apr 2020 | 30.3% | 52.3% | 12.3% | 1.7% |
| GIDL | 26 Apr–1 May 2020 | 23.2% | 41.9% | 32.4% | — |
| Datamarket | 1–3 May 2020 | 26% | 46% | 21% | 2% |
| Horizon Research LCC | 3–7 May 2020 | 22.8% | 41.3% | 33.5% | — |
| Effective Project Communications[permanent dead link] | 4–7 May 2020 | 29% | 49% | 16% | 3% |
| Polimetric | 4–9 May 2020 | 40.4% | 37.7% | 8.8% | — |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 11–12 May 2020 | 35.2% | 53.9% | 9.5% | — |
| ABC Marketing | 13–16 May 2020 | 26.5% | 55.6% | 14.5% | — |
| SISGLO | 17–20 May 2020 | 24.1% | 40.6% | 33.8% | — |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 18–19 May 2020 | 34.6% | 53.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% |
| Elections & Proyect Corp | 20–22 May 2020 | 21.8% | 42.1% | 33.9% | — |
| IDEAME | 18–23 May 2020 | 31.5% | 51.8% | 14.3% | 1% |
| José Dorín Cabrera Mercadología | 21–23 May 2020 | 46.9% | 36.7% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Mark Penn/Stagwell | 20–25 May 2020 | 37% | 39% | 10% | — |
| APD Consulting Group | 21–25 May 2020 | 34.4% | 51.6% | 11.6% | 2.3% |
| CID Latinoamericana[14][15] | 23–24 May 2020 | 41% | 39% | 10% | 3% |
| ASISA | 13–19 Apr 2020 | 20.4% | 44% | 29.1% | — |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 25–26 May 2020 | 34.0% | 53.5% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| CIES International | 24–27 May 2020 | 29% | 52% | 10% | 6% |
| CYGNAL | 26 May–2 Jun 2020 | 28.2% | 54.6% | 13.9% | 3.4% |
| Mercado & Cuantificaciones | 28–30 May 2020 | 33% | 51.3% | 11.2% | 1.1% |
| Datamarket | 26–30 May 2020 | 27% | 44% | 21% | 2% |
| Polimetrics | 30–31 May 2020 | 40.7% | 37.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| GIDL | 1–3 Jun 2020 | 21.5% | 40.7% | 33.4% | 1.7% |
| Mercado & Cuantificaciones | 2–5 Jun 2020 | 34.5% | 52.1% | 8.2% | — |
| New Partners | 2–5 Jun 2020 | 29.5% | 50.7% | 11.4% | — |
| Global Trend Research | 4–6 Jun 2020 | 25.7% | 40.3% | 30.8% | — |
| Gavindian Polsters | 4–8 Jun 2020 | 38% | 52% | 9% | 1% |
| Ideame | 5–9 Jun 2020 | 34.4% | 52.5% | 10.9% | 0.9% |
| Centro de Innovación y Políticas Públicas | 6–9 Jun 2020 | 36.3% | 52.3% | 7.7% | 1% |
| CID Latinoamericana | 9–11 Jun 2020 | 43% | 44% | 9% | 1% |
| Consulting and Field International | 9–12 Jun 2020 | 43% | 40% | 9% | 2% |
| Sigma Dos[16][17] | 12–14 Jun 2020 | 43.6% | 40.4% | 10.1% | 1.9% |
| John Zogby Strategies | 12–14 Jun 2020 | 34% | 54% | 9% | 2% |
| Datamarket | 12–14 Jun 2020 | 32% | 43% | 17% | 2% |
| Greenberg-Diario Libre | 11–16 Jun 2020 | 29% | 56% | 12% | 1% |
| Gallup | 12–16 Jun 2020 | 35.5% | 53.7% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| Mercado y Cuantificaciones | 15–17 Jun 2020 | 33.5% | 55.8% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| PoliRD | 16–18 Jun 2020 | 45.1% | 41.7% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| ABC Marketing | 15–20 Jun 2020 | 32.6% | 54.8% | 10.4% | — |
| Market Reports | 18–21 Jun 2020 | 26.2% | 40.8% | 30.6% | — |
| Polismetrics | 20–25 Jun 2020 | 42.9% | 39.2% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Emevenca | 20–23 Jun 2020 | 41% | 46% | 8% | 2% |
| Mark Penn /Stagwell-SIN | 16–23 Jun 2020 | 35% | 47% | 11% | — |
| GIDL | 21–23 Jun 2020 | 23.8% | 43% | 29.7% | 1.2% |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 22–23 Jun 2020 | 33.4% | 55.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% |
| NewPartners | 24–25 Jun 2020 | 29% | 54% | 10% | — |
Party identification and Congress
[edit]| Pollster | Date(s) | PLD | PRM | FP | PRSC | PRD | ALPAIS | N/A | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIES International | 19–22 Sep 2019 | 31% | 33% | — | 3.3% | 1.2% | 4.7% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| Gallup-Hoy | 16–21 Jan 2020 | 37.5% | 43.3% | 8.5% | — | — | 0.1% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| CIES International | 23–25 Feb 2020 | 27.5% | 43.6% | 10% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 11.3% | — |
| Makert Reports | 25–27 Apr 2020 | 29.1% | 34.7% | 19.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | — | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Datamarket[18] | 1–3 May 2020 | 27% | 37% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 11% |
| Effective Project Comunications[permanent dead link] | 4–7 May 2020 | 32% | 44% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| José Dorín Cabrera Mercadología | 21–23 May 2020 | 34.2% | 23.2% | 8.4% | — | — | 0.5% | 30.1% | 3.6% |
| CID Latinoamericana | 23–24 May 2020 | 45% | 38% | 6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Datamarket | 26–30 May 2020 | 27% | 37% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 11% |
| CYGNAL | 26 May–2 Jun 2020 | 26.7% | 40.5% | 9.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Polimetrics | 30–31 May 2020 | 35.4% | 29.9% | 8.9% | 0.9% | — | — | 25.7% | 9.2% |
| CID Latinoamerica[permanent dead link] | 9–11 Jun 2020 | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 1% |
| Mercados y Cuantificaciones | 15–17 Jun 2020 | 34% | 47.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 9.3% | 1% |
| ABC Marketing | 15–20 Jun 2020 | 29.8% | 46.7% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | — | — | — |
| Market Reports | 18–21 Jun 2020 | 27.3% | 33.2% | 22.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | — | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| GIDL | 21–23 Jun 2020 | 23.7% | 34.7% | 21.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | — | 8.2% | — |
| NewPartners | 24–25 Jun 2020 | 28% | 50% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 1% |
Conduct
[edit]It was initially reported that representatives of the Organization of American States (OAS) would arrive to the Dominican Republic on 13 February 2020 to monitor the elections.[19][20][21] The general election to elect the President and members of the Dominican Republic parliament, which was postponed from the scheduled 17 May 2020 date due to the COVID-19 pandemic, was later held on 5 July 2020.[22][23]
Local media reported that the elections proceeded smoothly, except for one incident, when a person was shot inside a polling station after an argument erupted between rival party supporters.[24]
Results
[edit]President
[edit]Luis Abinader won the presidential election in the first round, receiving over 50% of the vote. During the election count, the ruling Dominican Liberation Party's candidate Gonzalo Castillo conceded defeat, stating that the official count "shows that there is an irreversible trend and that from now on we have a president-elect... Our congratulations to Mr Luis Abinader."[7] Former President Leonel Fernández, who left the ruling party and ran for the presidency as a member of the People's Force party, also conceded defeat.[7] Abinader was sworn in as President of the Dominican Republic on 16 August 2020.[8]
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Abinader | Modern Revolutionary Party and allies[a] | 2,154,866 | 52.51 | |
| Gonzalo Castillo | Dominican Liberation Party and allies[b] | 1,537,078 | 37.46 | |
| Leonel Fernández | People's Force and allies[c] | 365,226 | 8.90 | |
| Guillermo Moreno García | Country Alliance | 39,458 | 0.96 | |
| Ismael Reyes Cruz | Institutional Democratic Party | 3,484 | 0.08 | |
| Juan Cohen | National Citizen Will Party | 3,250 | 0.08 | |
| Total | 4,103,362 | 100.00 | ||
| Valid votes | 4,103,362 | 98.56 | ||
| Invalid/blank votes | 59,943 | 1.44 | ||
| Total votes | 4,163,305 | 100.00 | ||
| Registered voters/turnout | 7,529,932 | 55.29 | ||
| Source: JCE | ||||
- ^ Revolutionary Social Democratic Party, Dominican Humanist Party, Alliance for Democracy, País Posible, Broad Front and Dominicans for Change
- ^ Alternative Democratic Movement, Christian Democratic Union, Civic Renovation Party, People's Democratic Party, Independent Revolutionary Party and the Dominican Revolutionary Party
- ^ Social Christian Reformist Party, Social Democratic Institutional Bloc, National Unity Party, National Progressive Force and the Quisqueyano Christian Democratic Party
Senate
[edit]The Modern Revolutionary Party won an absolute majority in the Senate on their own, seeing their seat total increase by 15, while the ruling Dominican Liberation party lost over 75% of their prior seats.
Chamber of Deputies
[edit]The Modern Revolutionary Party won a plurality of votes and seats, seeing their seat count more than double. The ruling Dominican Liberation Party lost nearly 30% of their prior seats. No party has a majority on their own in the Chamber, meaning alliances or coalitions will need to be made to guarantee the passage of bills. A total of 96 seats is needed for a majority.
References
[edit]- ^ "Padrón para las elecciones de mayo tendrá un incremento de más de 69 mil electores" (in European Spanish). Listin Diario. 14 January 2020. Retrieved 14 January 2020.
- ^ "La JCE pospone las elecciones presidenciales y congresuales para el 5 de julio" (in European Spanish). Diario Libre. 14 April 2020. Retrieved 14 April 2020.
- ^ "Elecciones de 2020 son un reto para la JCE" (in European Spanish). El Día. 2 August 2017. Retrieved 2 December 2017.
- ^ "Este será el orden de los partidos en la próxima boleta electoral" (in European Spanish). Listin Diario. 10 December 2019. Retrieved 10 December 2019.
- ^ "Candidatos presidenciales podrán gastar más de 900 millones durante campaña electoral" (in European Spanish). Listin Diario. 17 March 2020. Retrieved 17 March 2020.
- ^ "La JCE aprueba tres formatos distintos para boletas de mayo" (in European Spanish). Listin Diario. 19 March 2020. Retrieved 19 March 2020.
- ^ a b c d BBC News (6 July 2020). "Change in Dominican Republic as opposition wins presidency". Yahoo News. Retrieved 6 July 2020.
- ^ a b "Luis Abinader Sworn in as Dominican Leader; Pompeo Attends". U.S. News. Associated Press. 16 August 2020. Retrieved 16 August 2020.
- ^ Senado (Senate) IPU
- ^ Cámara de Diputados (Chamber of Deputies) IPU
- ^ a b c "Once partidos gestan coalición para desplazar al PLD del poder" (in European Spanish). Listin Diario. 23 October 2019. Retrieved 23 October 2019.
- ^ "Luis derrotaría fácil a Gonzalo y a Leonel en primera vuelta, según encuesta". Acento (in European Spanish). Retrieved 23 June 2020.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Encuesta otorga mayoría de simpatías a Luis Abinader". listindiario.com (in Spanish). 10 December 2019. Retrieved 23 June 2020.
- ^ "Resumen y Predicciones de Encuestas Elecciones 2020 Republica Dominicana". ElInfluyente.com. 16 June 2020. Retrieved 22 June 2020.
- ^ "Encuesta dice ya Gonzalo Castillo está arriba de Luis Abinader en primera y segunda vuelta". Hoy Digital (in Spanish). 1 June 2020. Retrieved 23 June 2020.
- ^ "Encuesta da a Gonzalo 43.6%, Abinader 40.4% y Leonel 10.1%". listindiario.com (in Spanish). 21 June 2020. Retrieved 22 June 2020.
- ^ "Gonzalo Castillo ganaría las elecciones con una ventaja de más de 3 puntos frente a Luis Abinader, según encuesta". Roberto Cavada (in Spanish). 21 June 2020. Retrieved 24 June 2020.
- ^ "Abinader ganaría elecciones con 46 %; Gonzalo Castillo 26 % y Leonel Fernández 21 %, según encuesta Datamarket". Roberto Cavada (in Spanish). 5 May 2020. Retrieved 25 June 2020.
- ^ "Misión de OEA observará elecciones del 2020 en República Dominicana" (in European Spanish). Listin Diario. 25 November 2019. Retrieved 25 November 2019.
- ^ "Observadores electorales de la OEA harán visita preliminar la próxima semana" (in European Spanish). Listin Diario. 17 January 2020. Retrieved 17 January 2020.
- ^ "JCE recibirá observadores de 20 países para elecciones municipales" (in European Spanish). Listin Diario. 9 February 2020. Retrieved 9 February 2020.
- ^ "Dominicans vote in election postponed over virus". BBC News. 5 July 2020. Retrieved 6 July 2020.
- ^ "Polls open in Dominican Republic presidential election". France 24. 5 July 2020. Retrieved 6 July 2020.
- ^ "Change in Dominican Republic as opposition wins presidency". Archived from the original on 4 August 2020. Retrieved 6 July 2020.
