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Opinion polling for the 2022 South Korean presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This article is a list of opinion polls that have been taken for the 2022 South Korean presidential election. It is divided into polls for intended candidates, and then for the presidential election itself. Two-way polls are used to demonstrate the popularity of one candidate with respect to another, but the election itself will have no run-off round and will be held under a system of first-past-the-post. The polls are ordered by date, with the newest at the top.

Opinion polling

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Polling after nominees confirmed

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Graphical summary

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Local regression of polls conducted

Polling average

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Polling Average
Aggregation Firm Fieldwork
date
Updated date
Lee Jae-myung
Others/
Undecided
Lead
Opinion M
(Final)
7 Jan 2021 – 2 Mar 2022 5 Mar 2022 41.2% 43.6% 2.6% 7.2% (N/A) (N/A) 5.4% 2.4%
2022 Election
(Final)
5 Nov 2021 – 2 Mar 2022 5 Mar 2022 40.5% 43.6% 2.1% 7.2% (N/A) (N/A) 6.6% 3.1%
pol MetriX
(Final)
4 Jan 2021 – 4 Mar 2021
(Reported Date)
5 Mar 2022 40.9% 44.3% 2.1% 7.3% (N/A) (N/A) 5.4% 3.4%
SBS Meta S X Poliscore
(Final)
(N/A) 4 Mar 2022 40.2% 41.8% 1.8% 7.9% (N/A) (N/A) 8.3% 1.6%
Electoral Analysis
(Final)
1 – 2 Mar 2022 3 Mar 2022 43.3% 45.9% 4.4% (N/A) (N/A) (N/A) 6.4% 2.6%
Asia Elects (N/A) 26 Feb 2022 39.0% 40.2% 2.8% 8.5% (N/A) (N/A) 9.5% 1.2%

2022

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Official campaign
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This table below lists polls completed since the publication of the official list of candidates on 15 February until the vote on 9 March 2022. The publication of polls are prohibited from 3 March 2022.

Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Others/
Undecided
Lead
Lee
Democratic
Yoon
People Power
Sim
Justice
Ahn
People[a]
Kim
New Wave[b]
Huh
NRDP
9 Mar Turnout: 77.1% 47.83% 48.56% 2.37% 0.83% 0.41% 0.73%
3 March 2022   Ahn Cheol-soo withdrew from the presidential campaign, endorsing   Yoon Seok-youl.
KIR NewsPim 2 Mar 1002 ±3.1%p 43.4% 47.2% 1.3% 5.3% 1.2% 1.6% 3.8%
Southern Post CBS 2 Mar 1001 ±3.1%p 37.7% 39.6% 1.7% 8.6% 12.4% 1.9%
R&R The Dong-a Ilbo 1–2 Mar 1008 ±3.1%p 39.4% 42.1% 3.2% 8.2% 7.1% 2.7%
Embrain Public Munhwa Ilbo 1–2 Mar 1002 ±3.1%p 41.9% 43.7% 2.2% 6.0% 6.2% 1.8%
Ipsos Korea Economic Daily 1–2 Mar 1000 ±3.1%p 40.7% 44.3% 1.3% 7.9% 0.3% 2.0% 3.4%[c] 3.6%
KSOI Herald Economy 1–2 Mar 1006 ±3.1%p 43.7% 44.4% 1.9% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7%
Opinion Research Justice Dailian 1–2 Mar 3004 ±1.8%p 40.7% 46.4% 1.8% 6.1% 1.1% 3.9% 5.7%
Ipsos
Korea Research
Hankook Research
KBS, MBC, SBS 1–2 Mar 2003 ±2.2%p 37.1% 42.1% 1.4% 6.0% 0.1% 1.5% 6.9%[d] 5.0%
Kantar Korea TV Chosun 1–2 Mar 1009 ±3.1%p 33.8% 40.1% 2.2% 7.2% 16.7% 6.3%
Opinion Research Justice JKN 1–2 Mar 1008 ±3.1%p 42.7% 45.1% 1.0% 5.5% 0.9% 1.8% 3.1% 2.4%
WinG Korea Asia Business 1–2 Mar 1015 ±3.1%p 45.4% 45.2% 1.3% 5.9% 2.2% 0.2%
Gallup Korea Money Today 1–2 Mar 1005 ±3.1%p 39.2% 40.6% 2.1% 9.0% 9.0% 1.4%
Next Research MBN 1–2 Mar 1011 ±3.1%p 34.1% 39.9% 2.1% 10.3% 13.6% 5.8%
PNR News Prime et al. 1–2 Mar 1011 ±3.1%p 41.9% 47.5% 1.3% 4.9% 2.6% 1.8% 5.6%
[citation needed] 1–2 Mar 1000 ±3.1%p 41% 47% 2% 7% 3% 6%
Hangil Research Kuki News 1–2 Mar 1021 ±3.1%p 40.9% 43.6% 2.3% 6.1% 4.3% 2.7%
Gallup Korea 28 Feb – 2 Mar 1002 ±3.1%p 38% 39% 3% 12% 8% 1%
National Barometer Survey 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2013 ±2.2%p 40% 40% 2% 9% 10% Tie
RealMeter Oh My News 28 Feb – 2 Mar 3037 ±1.8%p 40.6% 45.1% 1.9% 7.1% 5.2% 4.5%
Embrain Public JoongAng Ilbo 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2013 ±2.2%p 40.4% 43.7% 1.8% 8.1% 3.6% 3.3%
2 March 2022   Kim Dong-yeon withdrew from the presidential campaign, endorsing   Lee Jae-myung.
KSOI Kukmin Ilbo 28 Feb – 1 Mar 1012 ±3.1%p 37.9% 44.2% 2.1% 8.9% 6.9% 6.3%
Jowon C&I Ilyo Shinmun 28 Feb – 1 Mar 1013 ±3.1%p 42.1% 44.9% 2.6% 7.0% 0.5% 2.9% 2.8%
Global Research JTBC 28 Feb – 1 Mar 1006 ±3.1%p 36.6% 42.3% 2.9% 6.7% 11.5% 5.7%
Media Research OBS 28 Feb – 1 Mar 1000 ±3.1%p 45.0% 44.9% 1.5% 5.1% 1.5% 2.0% 0.1%
RealMeter Newsis 28 Feb – 1 Mar 1007 ±3.1%p 43.1% 46.3% 1.9% 6.7% 2.1% 3.2%
Kantar Korea Seoul Economic Daily 27 Feb – 1 Mar 1028 ±3.1%p 34.1% 44.1% 2.0% 7.8% 12.0% 10.0%
Jowon C&I Local Press Korea Assoc. 26 Feb – 1 Mar 3004 ±1.8%p 42.4% 45.3% 1.7% 7.3% 3.3% 2.1%
PNR New Daily 26 Feb – 1 Mar 4014 ±1.5%p 42.5% 46.5% 2.1% 6.4% 2.4% 4.0%
ARC Freedom Daily 28 Feb 1002 ±3.1%p 43.2% 46.5% 2.1% 4.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5%[e] 3.3%
Ace Research Kookje Daily 27–28 Feb 1002 ±3.1%p 43.7% 44.6% 1.9% 7.4% 2.4% 0.9%
Real Research Korea Kmaeil 25–28 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 41.5% 46.8% 2.8% 6.2% 2.7% 5.3%
Mediatomato Newstomato 26–27 Feb 1452 ±2.6%p 42.0% 44.2% 2.1% 8.5% 3.2% 2.2%
Opinion Research Justice Dailian 25–27 Feb 3004 ±1.8%p 42.3% 45.4% 2.1% 5.5% 0.8% 3.9% 3.1%
RealMeter The Fact 26–27 Feb 1009 ±3.1%p 41.0% 46.1% 2.5% 7.9% 2.5% 5.1%
RealMeter Oh My News 24–27 Feb 2052 ±2.2%p 39.5% 42.0% 1.8% 8.6% 8.2% 2.5%
KSOI TBS 25–26 Feb 1000[f] ±3.1%p 43.2% 45.0% 1.5% 5.9% 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8%
1005[g] ±3.1%p 43.8% 36.1% 3.4% 7.3% 0.4% 1.9% 7.2% 7.7%
Southern Post CBS 26 Feb 1021 ±3.1%p 40.0% 40.4% 2.7% 8.1% 8.8% 0.4%
Gallup Korea The Seoul Shinmun 25–26 Feb 1004 ±3.1%p 37.2% 42.3% 3.5% 11.0% 6.0% 5.1%
Embrain Public News1 25–26 Feb 1014 ±3.1%p 40.2% 42.4% 2.8% 9.0% 5.6% 2.2%
Hankook Research KBS 24–26 Feb 2000 ±2.2%p 39.8% 39.8% 3.1% 8.2% 9.1% Tie
Kantar Korea TV Chosun 23–24 Feb 1007 ±3.1%p 34.9% 36.5% 3.1% 8.5% 17.0% 1.6%
PNR News Prime et al. 23–24 Feb 1005 ±3.1%p 41.0% 43.8% 3.1% 7.4% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8%
[citation needed] 22–24 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 41% 46% 2% 7% 4% 5%
Gallup Korea 22–24 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 38% 37% 4% 12% 9% 1%
KIR Cheonji Daily 23 Feb 1001 ±3.1%p 39.3% 45.8% 3.2% 6.9% 1.2% 3.7% 6.5%
Media Research OBS 22-23 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 42.2% 43.2% 2.4% 6.2% 2.9% 3.1% 1.0%
KRi MBC 22-23 Feb 1005 ±3.1%p 39.6% 41.9% 2.5% 7.8% 0.1% 1.1% 7.0%[h] 2.3%
Embrain Public JoongAng Ilbo 22-23 Feb 1005 ±3.1%p 39.4% 40.2% 3.3% 9.4% 7.7% 0.8%
National Barometer Survey 21-23 Feb 1004 ±3.1%p 37% 39% 3% 9% 12% 2%
RealMeter Oh My News 20-23 Feb 2038 ±2.2%p 40.5% 41.9% 2.6% 6.8% 8.2% 1.4%
Jowon C&I Sisa Journal 20-22 Feb 1002 ±3.1%p 42.3% 44.2% 2.8% 6.7% 4.1% 1.9%
KIR NewsPim 21 Feb 1002 ±3.1%p 39.5% 44.0% 3.1% 7.5% 0.5% 2.0% 3.4% 4.5%
Gallup Korea Money Today 20-21 Feb 1002 ±3.1%p 38.3% 39.0% 3.0% 9.5% 10.2% 0.7%
Hangil Research Polinews 19-21 Feb 1027 ±3.1%p 42.6% 42.7% 1.2% 6.5% 0.3% 1.6% 5.1%[i] 0.1%
Opinion Research Justice Dailian 20 Feb 1001 ±3.1%p 40.8% 45.3% 1.9% 6.0% 1.0% 5.0% 4.5%
Jowon C&I Straight News 19-20 Feb 1002 ±3.1%p 42.1% 43.6% 2.2% 5.9% 0.9% 5.4% 1.5%
Mediatomato Newstomato 19-20 Feb 1061 ±3.0%p 41.9% 44.4% 2.9% 6.2% 4.7% 2.5%
Global Research JTBC 19-20 Feb 1006 ±3.1%p 34.1% 42.4% 3.2% 6.6% 13.7% 8.3%
Real Research Korea Kmaeil 18-20 Feb 1001 ±3.1%p 40.6% 43.4% 4.0% 6.9% 5.1% 2.8%
Jowon C&I CBS 18-19 Feb 1001 ±3.1%p 39.9% 44.7% 2.7% 7.5% 1.7% 3.5% 4.8%
KSOI TBS 18-19 Feb 1002 ±3.1%p 43.7% 42.2% 2.7% 5.8% 0.4% 1.7% 3.3% 1.5%
R&R The Dong-a Ilbo 18-19 Feb 1006 ±3.1%p 36.4% 43.3% 2.7% 9.9% 7.7% 6.9%
Hankook Research Hankookilbo 18-19 Feb 1012 ±3.1%p 36.9% 42.4% 2.3% 7.1% 11.3% 5.5%
Kantar Korea Seoul Economic Daily 18-19 Feb 1012 ±3.1%p 32.2% 41.3% 3.3% 6.9% 14.8% 9.1%
PNR New Daily 18-19 Feb 2015 ±2.2%p 39.8% 47.6% 2.2% 7.0% 3.3% 7.8%
Southern Post CBS 18-19 Feb 1001 ±3.1%p 31.4% 40.2% 4.4% 8.2% 15.8% 8.8%
RealMeter Oh My News 13-18 Feb 3043 ±1.8%p 38.7% 42.9% 3.2% 8.3% 6.8% 4.2%
Inner Tech Systems GNN 18 Feb 1014 ±3.1%p 39.7% 46.1% 4.2% 5.7% 4.4% 6.4%
PNR News Prime et al. 16-17 Feb 1004 ±3.1%p 39.9% 44.6% 1.9% 7.9% 1.5% 4.2% 4.7%
Gallup Korea 15-17 Feb 1007 ±3.1%p 34% 41% 4% 11% 10% 7%
[citation needed] 15-17 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 39% 48% 3% 7% 3% 9%
Ipsos
Korea Research
Hankook Research
KBS, MBC, SBS 15-16 Feb 2006 ±2.2%p 35.2% 39.2% 3.7% 8.1% 0.1% 1.7% 12%[j] 4.0%
Media Research OBS 15-16 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 40.4% 43.6% 3.0% 5.9% 2.7% 4.4% 3.2%
[citation needed] 14-16 Feb 1006 ±3.1%p 39.0% 45.3% 3.7% 8.2% 3.8% 6.3%
National Barometer Survey 14-16 Feb 1012 ±3.1%p 31% 40% 2% 8% 19% 9%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee
1 February to 14 February
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Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Others/
Undecided
Lead
Hangil Research Kuki News 12–14 Feb 1009 ±3.1%p 41.9% 42.4% 2.0% 7.2% 6.6% 0.5%
ARC Freedom Daily 13 Feb 1001 ±3.1%p 36.9% 48.7% 2.0% 7.2% 2.3% 2.8% 11.8%
Mediatomato Newstomato 12–13 Feb 1046 ±3.0%p 40.2% 43.2% 3.0% 8.3% 1.9% 3.0%
Kantar Korea TV Chosun 12–13 Feb 1010 ±3.1%p 33.2% 38.8% 3.1% 8.4% 16.5% 5.6%
PNR News Prime et al. 12–13 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 38.7% 45.6% 2.5% 6.3% 3.4% 3.4% 6.9%
KIR NewsPim 12 Feb 1,006 ±3.1%p 39.4% 44.3% 3.9% 6.1% 0.7% 2.9% 2.7% 4.9%
Southern Post CBS 12 Feb 1015 ±3.1%p 35.0% 35.5% 3.0% 7.2% 19.3% 0.5%
Opinion Research Justice Dailian 11–12 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 38.2% 46.6% 1.7% 6.9% 0.9% 5.7% 8.4%
Opinion Research Justice JKN 11–12 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 36.6% 47.5% 1.8% 7.7% 0.5% 1.8% 4.2% 10.9%
KSOI TBS 11–12 Feb 1005 ±3.1%p 40.4% 43.5% 3.5% 7.8% 0.6% 1.2% 3.1% 3.1%
PNR New Daily 11–12 Feb 2028 ±2.2%p 40.3% 46.6% 2.5% 7.3% 3.3% 6.3%
RealMeter Oh My News 6–11 Feb 3040 ±1.8%p 39.1% 41.6% 2.8% 7.7% 8.8% 2.5%
PNR News Prime et al. 9–10 Feb 1018 ±3.1%p 38.0% 44.9% 2.8% 8.7% 2.6% 2.9% 6.9%
[citation needed] 9–10 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 36% 48% 3% 8% 1% 4% 12%
Gallup Korea 8–10 Feb 1001 ±3.1%p 36% 37% 3% 13% 11% 1%
Opinion Research Justice Freedom Daily 9 Feb 1004 ±3.1%p 40.1% 44.6% 1.8% 8.3% 0.5% 4.8%[k] 4.5%
Media Research OBS 8–9 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 39.0% 44.3% 2.8% 6.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.3%
Kantar Korea Seoul Economic Daily 8–9 Feb 1008 ±3.1%p 31.3% 41.2% 3.9% 8.9% 12.6% 9.9%
Hankook Research KBS 7–9 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 34.0% 37.7% 3.0% 9.0% 16.2% 3.7%
National Barometer Survey 7–9 Feb 1007 ±3.1%p 35% 35% 4% 9% 16% Tie
Next Research MBN 7–8 Feb 1001 ±3.1%p 31.6% 36.1% 3% 10% 19.2% 4.5%
Gallup Korea Money Today 7–8 Feb 1007 ±3.1%p 36.9% 40.1% 3.9% 10% 9.1% 3.2%
Jowon C&I Sisa Journal 6–8 Feb 2020 ±2.2%p 38.5% 44.8% 2.5% 8.8% 5.3% 6.5%
Jowon C&I Straight News 5–6 Feb 1003 ±3.1%p 39.0% 45.5% 2.7% 9.0% 0.5% 3.3% 6.5%
KRi MBC 5–6 Feb 1012 ±3.1%p 35.3% 37.1% 3.5% 11.9% 12.3% 1.8%
Mediatomato News Tomato 5–6 Feb 1017 ±3.1%p 36.8% 44.9% 3% 8.6% 0.7% 2% 3.5% 8.1%
KIR NewsPim 5 Feb 1006 ±3.1%p 35.6% 46.5% 2.6% 7.9% 1.1% 2.5% 3.2% 10.9%
Embrain Public JoongAng Ilbo 4–5 Feb 1005 ±3.1%p 38.1% 36.2% 4.2% 11.7% 9.4% 1.9%
Opinion Research Justice Dailian 4–5 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 36.3% 44.6% 3.2% 7.4% 0.7% 7.8% 8.3%
PNR New Daily 4–5 Feb 2001 ±2.2%p 37.7% 48% 3% 7.7% 3.7% 10.3%
KSOI Kukmin Ilbo 3–4 Feb 1006 ±3.1%p 35.1% 37.2% 2.2% 8.4% 17.1% 2.1%
Realmeter OhmyNews 2–4 Feb 1509 ±2.5%p 38.1% 43.4% 2.5% 7.5% 8.4% 5.3%
PNR News Prime et al. 2–3 Feb 2001 ±2.2%p 38% 44.3% 2.9% 7.4% 3% 4.3% 6.3%
Hangil Research Kuki news 2 Feb 1012 ±3.1%p 40.4% 38.5% 3.3% 8.2% 0.5% 2.1% 6.9% 1.9%
Research View UPI News 1–3 Feb 1000 ±3.1%p 38% 46% 3% 8% 1% 3% 8%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee
January
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Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Others/
Undecided
Lead
Opinion Research Justice Dailian 29 Jan 1002 ±3.1%p 38.1% 43.5% 2.8% 7.8% 0.8% 7.1% 5.4%
PNR New Daily 28–29 Jan 2001 ±2.2%p 39.7% 45.1% 2.6% 8.3% 4.4% 5.4%
Korea Research MBC 26–27 Jan 1002 ±3.1%p 32.9% 41.1% 3.1% 10.5% 11.9% 8.2%
KIR NewsPim 26 Jan 1,005 ±3.1%p 35.6% 42.4% 3.1% 8.8% 0.9% 5.6% 3.7% 6.8%
Embrain Public Munhwa Ilbo 24–25 Jan 1,001 ±3.1%p 33.5% 35.9% 3.2% 12% 0.7% 14.7% 2.4%
RealMeter Oh My News 17–21 Jan 3,031 ±1.8%p 36.8% 42.0% 2.5% 10.0% 8.7% 5.2%
Gallup Korea 18–20 Jan 1,002 ±3.1%p 34% 33% 3% 17% 13% 1%
Global Research JTBC 16–17 Jan 1,020 ±3.1%p 34.6% 32.9% 3.3% 14% 15.2% 1.7%
PNR New Daily 14–15 Jan 1,000 ±3.1%p 33.8% 44.8% 3.0% 11.7% 6.7% 11.0%
RealMeter Oh My News 9–14 Jan 3,031 ±1.8%p 36.7% 40.6% 2.0% 12.9% 7.8% 3.9%
Gallup Korea 11–13 Jan 1,001 ±3.1%p 37% 31% 3% 17% 12% 6%
KSOI TBS 7–8 Jan 1,000 ±3.1%p 37.6% 35.2% 2.3% 15.1% 0.4% 9.4% 2.4%
KRI MBC 7–8 Jan 1,003 ±3.1%p 37.1% 30.5% 4.0% 13.6% 14.8% 6.6%
PNR New Daily 7–8 Jan 1,001 ±3.1%p 38.5% 37.7% 2.9% 13.4% 7.5% 0.8%
Southern Post CBS 7–8 Jan 1,002 ±3.1%p 34.1% 26.4% 3.1% 12.8% 23.6% 7.7%
RealMeter Oh My News 2–7 Jan 3,042 ±1.8%p 40.1% 34.1% 2.8% 11.1% 11.9% 6.0%
Gallup Korea 6 Jan 1,002 ±3.1%p 36.0% 26.0% 5.0% 15.0% 18.0% 10.0%
Global Research JTBC 5–6 Jan 1,006 ±3.1%p 38.0% 25.1% 3.0% 12.0% 21.9% 12.9%
Gallup Korea Money Today 5 Jan 1,001 ±3.1%p 37.6% 29.2% 3.6% 12.9% 0.2% 16.5% 8.4%
GGilbo NBS 5 Jan 1,000 ±3.1%p 36.0% 28.0% 2.0% 12.0% 22.0% 8.0%
[citation needed] UPI news 4–6 Jan 1,000 ±3.1%p 41% 38% 3% 13% 6% 3%
R&S Research MBN 4–5 Jan 1,003 ±3.1%p 38.5% 34.2% 3.3% 12.2% 11.8% 4.3%
Media Research OBS 4–5 Jan 1,001 ±3.1%p 40.3% 37.0% 3.6% 9.2% 2.8% 7.1% 3.3%
Korea Research KBS 3–4 Jan 1,000 ±3.1%p 39.1% 26.0% 3.1% 10.6% 0.6% 21.6% 13.1%
KIR Cheonji Daily 2 Jan 1,003 ±3.1%p 37.7% 37.1% 3.9% 10.6% 1.2% 10.5% 0.6%
Global Research JTBC 1–2 Jan 1,012 ±3.1%p 37.0% 28.1% 3.2% 9.1% 22.6% 8.9%
R&R Choson 1 Jan 1,013 ±3.1%p 35.5% 30.9% 4.1% 10.3% 14.4% 4.6%
KSOI TBS 31 Dec – 1 Jan 1,000 ±3.1%p 41.0% 37.1% 2.2% 9.2% 1.1% 9.4% 3.9%
Opinion Research Justice Dailian 31 Dec – 1 Jan 1,000 ±3.1%p 39.9% 36.8% 2.3% 8.0% 0.7% 12.3% 1.6%
Ace Research Mudeung Daily 31 Dec – 1 Jan 1,000 ±3.1%p 44.1% 35.6% 3.8% 7.7% 0.5% 8.3% 8.5%
PNR New Daily 31 Dec – 1 Jan 1,002 ±3.1%p 40.5% 40.9% 1.8% 8.5% 8.3% 0.4%
R&R The Dong-a Ilbo 30 Dec – 1 Jan 1,012 ±3.1%p 39.9% 30.2% 4.3% 8.6% 0.6% 16.4% 9.7%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee

2021

[edit]
Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Others/
Undecided
Lead
NR SBS 30–31 Dec 1,003 ±3.1%p 34.9% 26.0% 2.6% 7.8% 28.7% 8.9%
KRI MBC 29–31 Dec 1,007 ±3.1%p 38.5% 28.4% 4.0% 8.4% 20.7% 10.1%
Korea research KBS 29–31 Dec 1,000 ±3.1%p 39.3% 27.3% 3.2% 8.1% 0.5% 21.6% 12.0%
Hankook Research Hankookilbo 29–30 Dec 1,005 ±3.1%p 34.3% 28.7% 4.5% 9.0% 23.5% 5.6%
ARC Sportsseoul 29 Dec 1,001 ±3.1%p 41.5% 38.8% 2.0% 6.7% 3.9% 7.0% 2.7%
R&R The Segye Times 27–29 Dec 1,013 ±3.1%p 35.5% 30.9% 4.1% 10.3% 19.2% 4.6%
Gallup Korea The Seoul Shinmun 27–28 Dec 1,008 ±3.1%p 36.8% 30.8% 6.6% 9.3% 10.3% 6.0%
KSOI Harold Economy 27–28 Dec 1,002 ±3.1%p 42.9% 37.8% 3.3% 4.4% 11.5% 5.1%
Mediatomato Newstomato 25–26 Dec 1,014 ±3.1%p 40.1% 33.9% 4.5% 6.6% 1.2% 13.8% 6.2%
Opinion Research Justice Dailian 24–25 Dec 1,000 ±3.1%p 39.1% 37.5% 2.1% 6.5% 1.2% 13.5% 1.6%
PNR New Daily 24–25 Dec 1,000 ±3.1%p 40.4% 41.1% 2.8% 5.7% 10.1% 0.7%
KSOI TBS 24–25 Dec 1,000 ±3.1%p 37.6% 35.8% 3.5% 7.3% 1.5% 14.3% 1.8%
SP Chosun 24–25 Dec 1,010 ±3.1%p 36.6% 27.7% 3.9% 4.1% 24.7% 8.9%
Media research Obsnews 23–24 Dec 1,006 ±3.1%p 42.8% 35.5% 3.3% 5.7% 4.0% 8.7% 7.3%
KED Chosun 23–24 Dec 1,004 ±3.1%p 37.8% 37.5% 5.1% 8.4% 1.0% 10.2% 0.3%
Realmeter Archived 2021-12-22 at the Wayback Machine YTN 20–21 Dec 1,027 ±3.1%p 37.0% 40.1% 3.6% 4.2% 1.7% 13.4% 3.1%
KSOI Hani 20 Dec 1,008 ±3.1%p 40.3% 37.4% 4.2% 4.6% 1.3% 12.1% 2.9%
Realmeter Ohmynews 19–24 Dec 3,090 ±1.8%p 39.7% 40.4% 2.9% 5.6% 11.4% 0.7%
NewsSCJ KIR 14 Dec 1,022 ±3.1%p 35.2% 44.9% 4.4% 3.9% 1.2% 4.5% 5.9% 9.7%
IMNews MBC 14 Dec 1,007 ±3.1%p 34.5% 38.7% 4.5% 5.9% 16.4% 4.2%
Realmeter The Watch 7–8 Dec 1,028 ±3.1%p 35.5% 37.4% 6.7% 4.1% 1.9% 4.6% 6.2%[l] 1.9%
Gallup Korea MoneyToday 6–7 Dec 1,006 ±3.1%p 35.5% 36.4% 3.5% 6.5% 1.0% 16.4% 0.1%
PNR New Daily 3–4 Dec 1,004 ±3.1%p 38.5% 42.6% 3.8% 2.9% 0.8% 4.4% 6.9% 4.1%
KSOI TBS 2–3 Dec 1,007 ±3.1%p 37.9% 41.2% 4.1% 3.2% 1.7% 12.0% 4.3%
R&R ChannelA 1 Dec 1,008 ±3.1%p 35.5% 34.6% 4.9% 6.0% 1.6% 17.4% 0.9%
RealMeter Hani 29 Nov 1,000 ±3.1%p 35.1% 43.7% 3.0% 4.3% 1.1% 12.6% 8.6%
PNR Khan 23–24 Nov 1,011 ±3.1%p 37.1% 43.9% 3.8% 3.8% 0.4% 5.7%[m] 6.8%
KSOI Hani 24 Nov 1,000 ±3.1%p 39.5% 40.0% 4.5% 4.0% 1.1% 10.8% 0.5%
GET R&Search 23 Nov 1,008 ±3.1%p 36.1% 44.5% 3.5% 3.5% 0.5% 3.1% 8.8% 8.4%
Gallup Korea Money Today 22–23 Nov 1,011 ±3.1%p 37.1% 38.4% 3.0% 5.5% 1.0% 15.0% 1.3%
PNR New Daily 19–20 Nov 1,007 ±3.1%p 36.7% 46.5% 3.0% 2.6% 1.0% 10.1% 9.8%
Gallup Korea Chosun Ilbo 16–18 Nov 1,000 ±3.1%p 31.0% 42.0% 5.0% 7.0% 15.0% 11.0%
ARC ARC 10–11 Nov 1,006 ±3.1%p 34.6% 47.4% 2.1% 3.7% 2.9% 9.5% 12.8%
Realmeter JoongBoo Daily 9–10 Nov 810 ±3.4%p 35.4% 45.0% 4.4% 5.7% 1.8% 7.7% 9.6%
PNR New Daily 5–6 Nov 1,009 ±3.1%p 31.2% 43.0% 3.7% 4.7% 1.4% 15.9% 11.8%
KSOI TBS 5–6 Nov 1,005 ±3.1%p 30.3% 45.8% 3.2% 4.7% 0.9% 15.0% 15.5%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee

Polling before nominees finalized

[edit]
Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Margin of
error
DP PPP PP Others None / Undecided Lead
Lee Jae-myung Lee Nak-yeon Choo Mi-ae Chung Sye-kyun Park Yong-jin Yoon Suk Yeol Choi Jae-hyung Hong Jun-pyo Yoo Seung-min Ahn Cheol-soo
National Barometer Survey 4–6 Oct 1,006 ±3.1%p 26% 11% 1% 0% 17% 1% 15% 2% 2%
3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 1%
  • Others 1%
15% 9%
Korea Research International MBC News 25-26 Sep 1,001 ±3.1%p 27.8% 11.7% 1.8% 0.5% 17.2% 1.1% 16.3% 2.9% 0.9%
3.9%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.9%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.9%
15.8% 10.6%
KSOI TBS 17–18 Sep 1,004 ±3.1%p 23.6% 13.7% 2.9% 0.8% 28.8% 1.6% 15.4% 2.9% 2.4%
3.4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2.1%
4.6% 5.2%
National Barometer Survey 13–15 Sep 1,007 ±3.1%p 28% 11% 2% 0% 20% 1% 14% 2% 2%
3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Others 1%
15% 8%
KSOI TBS 3–4 Sep 1,003 ±3.1%p 28.0% 11.7% 2.5% 0.8% 26.4% 4.1% 13.6% 3.7% 1.6%
2.5%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.4%
4.9% 1.6%
Gallup Korea 31 Aug – 2 Sep 1,000 ±3.1%p 24% 8% 1% 1% 19% 2% 6% 2% 2% 3% 32% 5%
National Barometer Survey 30 Aug – 1 Sep 1,012 ±3.1%p 25% 10% 2% 1% 1% 19% 2% 10% 2% 3%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Others 1%
21% 6%
KSOI TBS 27–28 Aug 1,015 ±3.1%p 29.1% 13.6% 3.0% 0.7% 27.4% 2.3% 9.4% 3.4% 2.6%
3.4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.6%
5.0% 1.7%
RnSearch Gyeonggi Shinmun 25–26 Aug 1,010 ±3.1%p 27.2% 15.1% 1.8% 1.8% 0.6% 26.8% 3.7% 8.2% 3.2% 2.3%
3.2%
  • Others 3.2%
6.0% 0.4%
National Barometer Survey 23–25 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 26% 9% 1% 1% 0% 20% 2% 7% 2% 3%
5%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Others 1%
25% 6%
Realmeter JTBC 21–22 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 27.7% 14.1% 2.9% 2.2% 0.3% 30.4% 5.0% 6.8% 2.6% 1.5%
3.3%
  • Others 3.3%
3.3% 2.7%
KSOI TBS 20–21 Aug 1,007 ±3.1%p 26.8% 12.4% 3.3% 0% 0.4% 29.8% 5.1% 8.4% 3.6% 1.5%
4.1%
  • Others 4.1%
4.5% 3%
National Barometer Survey 16–18 Aug 1,010 ±3.1%p 26% 10% 2% 1% 0% 19% 3% 4% 2% 3%
3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 2%
  • Others 0%
25% 7%
Korea Research International MBC News 16–17 Aug 1,002 ±3.1%p 29.8% 10.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 19.5% 3.9% 5.3% 2.8% 2.8%
3.9%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.8%
18.5% 10.3%
Next Research SBS News 13–14 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 23.2% 10.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 21.7% 3.2% 7.0% 2.3% 2.5%
3.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.3%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1.3%
22.3% 1.5%
KSOI TBS 13–14 Aug 1,007 ±3.1%p 26.2% 12.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.8% 30.6% 0% 7.3% 3.4% 2.4%
5.2%
  • Others 5.2%
5.4% 4.4%
Hankook Research KBS News 12–14 Aug 1,000 ±3.1%p 25.6% 11.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 18.1% 4.4% 4.8% 2.3% 2.4%
5.8%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.5%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1.0%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0.6%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0.5%
  • Kim Du-kwan 0.4%
  • Others 1.8%
22.2% 7.5%
Media Research OBS 11–12 Aug 1,000 ±3.1%p 26.6% 17.0% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 26.4% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.9%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.5%
5.5% 0.2%
National Barometer Survey 9–11 Aug 1,017 ±3.1%p 23% 12% 2% 1% 0% 19% 3% 5% 2% 3%
2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
27% 4%
Realmeter Oh My News 9–10 Aug 2,031 ±2.2%p 25.9% 12.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 26.3% 6.1% 5.4% 2.4% 2.3%
7.6%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.1%
  • Others 6.5%
5.0% 0.4%
KSOI TBS 6–7 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 28.4% 16.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 28.3% 6.1% 4.2% 3.5% 2.5%
2.0%
  • Others 2.0%
3.9% 0.1%
Gallup Korea 3–5 Aug 1,001 ±3.1%p 25% 11% 1% 1% 19% 4% 2% 1% 3% 29% 6%
National Barometer Survey 2–4 Aug 1,003 ±3.1%p 28% 10% 2% 1% 0% 22% 3% 4% 1% 2%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 1%
  • Others 1%
23% 6%
KSOI TBS 30–31 Jul 1,013 ±3.1%p 27.4% 16.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.7% 32.3% 5.8% 4.1% 2.4% 2.2%
1.6%
  • Others 1.6%
2.4% 4.9%
30 July 2021 Yoon Suk Yeol joins the People Power Party[1]
National Barometer Survey 26–28 Jul 1,003 ±3.1%p 25% 12% 1% 1% 0% 19% 3% 3% 2% 1%
2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
28% 6%
Hangil Research Kukinews 24–26 Jul 1,006 ±3.1%p 23.7% 15.8% 5.2% 29.8% 4.4% 3.5%
6.7%
  • Others 6.7%
10.8% 6.1%
WinG Korea Asia Business 24–25 Jul 1,008 ±3.1%p 28.6% 16.9% 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 24.3% 5.9% 5% 2.6% 2%
3.5%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1.4%
  • Park Yong-jin 0.7%
  • Others 4.8%
5.5% 4.3%
KSOI TBS 23–24 Jul 1,006 ±3.1%p 26% 18.2% 2.5% 2.3% 0.8% 26.9% 8.1% 4.7% 2.8% 2%
2.3%
  • Others 1.0%
4.9% 0.9%
National Barometer Survey 19–21 Jul 1,005 ±3.1%p 27% 14% 2% 1% 0% 19% 3% 4% 2% 3%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0%
  • Others 1%
26% 8%
KRi MBC News 17–18 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 27.1% 14.6% 2.9% 1.3% 19.7% 4.8% 3.9% 1.1% 2.8%
5.5%
  • Won Hee-ryong 1.5%
  • Kim Du-kwan 1.0%
  • Kim Dong-yeon 0.9%
  • Others 2.1%
2.4% 7.4%
Realmeter JTBC 17–18 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 23.8% 20.1% 4.5% 6.4% 0.9% 22% 6% 4.6% 2% 1.7%
5.5%
  • Won Hee-ryong 1.5%
  • Kim Du-kwan 1.0%
  • Kim Dong-yeon 0.9%
  • Others 2.1%
2.4% 1.8%
KSOI TBS 16–17 Jul 1,013 ±3.1%p 25.4% 19.3% 3.4% 0.9% 30.3% 5.6% 3.3% 2.3% 2.2%
2.3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.2%
  • Others 1.1%
4.9% 4.9%
15 July 2021 Choi Jae-hyung joins the People Power Party[2]
National Barometer Survey 12–14 Jul 1,016 ±3.1%p 26% 14% 3% 1% 0% 20% 3% 4% 2% 2%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0%
  • Kim Du-kwan 0%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0%
  • Others 1%
22% 6%
HRI Seoul Shinmun 12–14 Jul 1,208 ±2.83%p 27.2% 16% 2.9% 2.6% 26.8% 5.1% 4% 3.1% 2% 0.3% 9.8% 0.4%
NEXT SBS News 12–13 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 25.1% 12% 3.8% 1.4% 24.5% 3.2% 4.2% 1.9% 2.2%
2.7%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.2%
  • Kim Du-kwan 0.3%
  • Others 0.4%
19% 0.6%
Jowon C&I Straight News 10–12 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 27.4% 16.4% 5% 2.8% 1.1% 28.9% 3.6% 4.8% 2.6% 2.7% '1.9% 2.9% 1.5%
WinG Korea Asia Business 10–11 Jul 1,011 ±3.1%p 25.8% 16.4% 4.7% 3% 1.3% 26.4% 4.1% 4.8% 3.2% 2.1%
2.9%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1.3%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0.5%
  • Others 1.1%
5.2% 0.6%
KSOI TBS 9–10 Jul 1,014 ±3.1%p 26.9% 18.1% 4.2% 1.7% 29.9% 2.5% 4.1% 4.5% 2.1%
1.9%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.9%
  • Others 1.0%
3.9% 3%
KSOI TBS 6–8 Jul 1,400 ±3.1%p 28.4% 16.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 28.3% 6.1% 4.2% 3.5% 2.5%
2.0%
  • Others 2.0%
3.9% 0.1%
National Barometer Survey 5–7 Jul 1,005 ±3.1%p 27% 10% 2% 2% 0% 21% 4% 2% 2%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0%
  • Others 1%
26% 6%
KIR News Phim 5 Jul 1,012 ±3.1%p 29% 11.8% 3.7% 2.4% 0.5% 31.6% 2.4% 4.1% 2.6% 2.4%
4.5%
  • Yoon Hui-sook 1.8%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.9%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0.5%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 0.4%
  • Others 0.9%
5.1% 2.6%
Realmeter JTBC 3–4 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 26.3% 12.5% 6.4% 1.7% 0.4% 33.9% 2.5% 4.7% 2.3% 1.8%
4.4%
  • Kim Du-kwan 0.4%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.5%
  • Yoon Hui-sook 2.1%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 0.8%
  • Others 0.6%
3.2% 7.6%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 3 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 26.2% 13.7% 4.1% 3.2% 0.8% 36.1% 2.5% 4.6% 2.5% 3.1%
3.1%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.5%
  • Others 2.6%
3.2% 9.9%
KSOI TBS 2–3 Jul 1,002 ±3.1%p 30.3% 12.2% 3.9% 2.6% 0.5% 31.4% 3.2% 3.9% 2.3% 3.1% 1.3% 5.5% 1.1%
Global Research 30 Jun–2 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 26.5% 9.4% 2.4% 1.8% 0.4% 25% 2.4% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8%
2.3%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0.7%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.6%
  • Others 1.0%
21.5% 1.5%
Gallup Korea 29 Jun–1 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 24% 6% 2% 2% 25% 2% 2% 1% 3% 32% 1%
National Barometer Survey 28–30 Jun 1,007 ±3.1%p 27% 9% 3% 1% 1% 21% 3% 2% 3%
6%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 1%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1%
  • Others 2%
27% 6%
Jowon C&I Ilyo Shinmun 27–29 Jun 1,046 ±3%p 23.7% 8.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.3% 34.3% 5.6% 6.1% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 3.4% 10.6%
WinG Korea Asia Business 26–27 Jun 1,009 ±3.1%p 26.6% 9.5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9% 30.7% 3.3% 5.7% 4.1% 2.7%
3.5%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1.2%
  • Ma Kyoung-won 1.0%
  • Others 1.3%
5.5% 4.1%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 26 Jun 1,002 ±3.1%p 25.5% 13% 5.5% 2.6% 0.3% 32.7% 3.7% 6.1% 3.1%
3.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.9%
  • Others 2.3%
4.5% 7.2%
KSOI TBS 25–26 Jun 1,004 ±3.1%p 28.4% 11.5% 4.7% 0.7% 32.4% 6.4% 3.1% 2.1%
6%
  • Oh Se-hoon 1.5%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.5%
  • Others 3.0%
4.6% 4%
24 June 2021 Hong Jun-pyo rejoined the PPP (formerly the United Future Party)[3]
National Barometer Survey 21–23 Jun 1,006 ±3.1%p 27% 7% 2% 2% 0% 20% 3% 1% 3%
4%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 1%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Others 2%
30% 7%
Realmeter Oh My News 21–22 Jun 2,014 ±2.2%p 22.8% 8.4% 3.9% 3% 0.7% 32.3% 3.6% 4.1% 3% 2.6%
8.9%
  • Oh Se-hoon 3.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.9%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1.7%
  • Choi Moon-soon 1.0%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0.7%
  • Others 1.4%
6.7% 9.5%
Realmeter JTBC 19–20 Jun 1,028 ±3.1%p 29.3% 11.5% 3.9% 2.5% 0.6% 32% 3.7% 4.4% 2.4% 2.4%
2.1%
  • Kim Dong-yeon 0.8%
  • Others 1.3%
5.2% 2.7%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 19 Jun 1,003 ±3.1%p 27.2% 13% 4.7% 33.9% 4.5% 4.3% 3.1%
5.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.8%
  • Others 3.4%
4.2% 6.7%
KSOI TBS 18–19 Jun 1,004 ±3.1%p 25% 12.2% 2.7% 0.9% 38% 4% 3.1% 1.7%
7.1%
  • Oh Se-hoon 3.3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.4%
  • Others 2.4%
5.5% 13%
KIR News Phim 18 Jun 1,012 ±3.1%p 27.2% 8.4% 4% 0.8% 36.7% 4.7% 2.6% 3.6%
6.7%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.6%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 1.3%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 2.1%
  • Kim Du-kwan 1.0%
  • Others 1.7%
5.4% 9.5%
National Barometer Survey 14–16 Jun 1,004 ±3.1%p 25% 7% 1% 1% 0% 24% 2% 1% 3%
3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 0%
  • Others 1%
32% 1%
WinG Korea Asia Business 12–13 Jun 1,017 ±3.1%p 28.3% 10% 2.1% 1.2% 33.3% 2.7% 3.9% 2.7% 3.2%
4.9%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1.4%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1.1%
  • Choi Moon-soon 0.5%
  • Others 1.9%
7.5% 5%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 12 Jun 1,003 ±3.1%p 26.2% 12.3% 2.6% 39.1% 5.9% 2.7%
5.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.2%
  • Others 3.7%
6.3% 12.9%
KSOI TBS 11–12 Jun 1,007 ±3.1%p 27.7% 12.6% 2.2% 1.8% 35.5% 4.1% 1.4% 2.6%
6.8%
  • Oh Se-hoon 2.8%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2.3%
  • Others 1.7%
7.5% 7.8%
National Barometer Survey 7–9 Jun 1,010 ±3.1%p 24% 7% 1% 2% 0% 24% 3% 2% 3%
3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0%
  • Others 1%
30% Tie
KSOI TBS 5–6 Jun 1,009 ±3.1%p 26.1% 10.2% 4% 3.5% 31.1% 3.5% 3% 2.5%
6.8%
  • Oh Se-hoon 4.0%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.8%
  • Others 1.9%
8.3% 5%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 5 Jun 1,002 ±3.1%p 25.7% 13.8% 3.7% 35.7% 5.4% 4.1% 2.5%
5.6%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2.0%
  • Others 3.6%
5.9% 10%
Gallup Korea 1–3 Jun 1,002 ±3.1%p 24% 5% 1% 21% 2% 3%
11%
  • Lee Jun-seok 3.0%
  • Oh Se-hoon 2.0%
  • Others 6%
36% 3%
National Barometer Survey 31 May–2 Jun 1,008 ±3.1%p 28% 9% 1% 2% 0% 20% 3% 1% 3%
5%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0%
  • Kim Boo-kyum 0%
  • Others 1%
28% 8%
Jowon C&I Ilyo Shinmun 30 May–1 Jun 1,003 ±3.1%p 26.4% 11.3% 3% 0.5% 28.7% 3.9% 5.8% 2.1% 3.6%
11.4%
  • Na Kyoung-won 2.6%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.8%
  • Kim Dong-yeon 1.7%
  • Kim Du-kwan 1.3%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1.8%
  • Yang Seung-jo 0.8%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.5%
  • Others 0.9%
4.1% 2.3%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee

Hypothetical polling

[edit]

Lee Jae-myung vs. Yoon Suk Yeol

[edit]
Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Others/
Undecided
Lead
RnSearch Gyeonggi Shinmun 3–4 Sep 1,017 ±3.1%p 34.3% 37.0% 28.7% 2.7%
National Barometer Survey 30 Aug – 1 Sep 1,012 ±3.1%p 42% 35% 23% 7%
RnSearch Gyeonggi Shinmun 25–26 Aug 1,010 ±3.1%p 34.1% 38.8% 27.0% 4.7%
National Barometer Survey 23–25 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 40% 34% 27% 6%
Realmeter Oh My News 23–24 Aug 2,015 ±2.2%p 36.3% 42.5% 21.2% 6.2%
Jowon C&I Straight News 21–23 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 35.6% 41.7% 22.6% 6.1%
Hangil Research Polinews 21–23 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 37.0% 42.6% 20.5% 5.6%
Realmeter JTBC 21–22 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 39.4% 42.6% 18.0% 3.2%
Gallup Korea 17–19 Aug 1,001 ±3.1%p 46% 34% 19% 12%
National Barometer Survey 16–18 Aug 1,010 ±3.1%p 43% 35% 23% 8%
Korea Research International MBC News 16–17 Aug 1,002 ±3.1%p 44.7% 35.3% 19.9% 9.4%
Next Research SBS News 13–14 Aug 1,004 ±3.1%p 36.9% 35.4% 27.6% 1.5%
Hankook Research KBS News 12–14 Aug 1,000 ±3.1%p 44.2% 36.9% 18.9% 7.3%
National Barometer Survey 9–11 Aug 1,017 ±3.1%p 41% 33% 27% 8%
PNR New Daily 10 Aug 1,011 ±3.1%p 35.4% 42.4% 22.2% 7%
Realmeter Oh My News 9–10 Aug 2,031 ±2.2%p 35.9% 42.1% 22.0% 6.2%
Jowon C&I Straight News 7–9 Aug 1,003 ±3.1%p 38.1% 38.4% 23.6% 0.3%
WinG Korea Asia Business 7–8 Aug 1,006 ±3.1%p 41.8% 41.3% 16.9% 0.5%
National Barometer Survey 2–4 Aug 1,003 ±3.1%p 42% 35% 23% 7%
Jowon C&I Ilyo Shinmun 1–3 Aug 1,000 ±3.1%p 35.7% 42.5% 21.9% 6.8%
Realmeter News the One 28–29 Jul 1,003 ±3.1%p 36.1% 46.6% 17.3% 10.5%
RnSearch MBN/Maeil Business 26–28 Jul 1,102 ±3%p 34.6% 38.3% 27.2% 3.7%
Jowon C&I Straight News 24–26 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 38% 40.2% 21.8% 2.2%
Hangil Research Kukinews 24–26 Jul 1,006 ±3.1%p 36.9% 41.1% 21.9% 4.2%
National Barometer Survey 19–21 Jul 1,003 ±3.1%p 46% 33% 20% 13%
KRi MBC News 17–18 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 43% 41% 16% 2%
Realmeter JTBC 17–18 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 44% 34.9% 18.6% 9.1%
Realmeter Seoul Shinmun 12–14 Jul 1,208 ±2.83%p 48.9% 43% 8.1% 5.9%
RnSearch MBN/Maeil Business 12–14 Jul 1,060 ±3%p 33.7% 37.9% 28.4% 4.2%
Realmeter Oh My News 12–13 Jul 2,036 ±2.2%p 38.6% 39.4% 22% 0.8%
NEXT SBS News 12–13 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 36.9% 34% 29.1% 2.9%
Hangil Research Kukinews 10–12 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 43.9% 36% 20.1% 7.9%
WinG Korea Asia Business 10–11 Jul 1,011 ±3.1%p 41.5% 42.2% 16.3% 0.7%
National Barometer Survey 5–7 Jul 1,005 ±3.1%p 43% 33% 24% 9%
Realmeter JTBC 3–4 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 39.4% 43.6% 17% 4.2%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 3 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 41.8% 49.8% 9.4% 8%
RnSearch MBN/Maeil Business 28–30 Jun 1,000 ±3%p 34.7% 41.4% 24.9% 6.7%
Jowon C&I Ilyo Shinmun 27–29 Jun 1,000 ±3.1%p 33.1% 44.9% 22.1% 11.8%
WinG Korea Asia Business 26–27 Jun 1,009 ±3.1%p 40.5% 48.7% 10.8% 8.2%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 26 Jun 1,002 ±3.1%p 40.5% 50.5% 9% 10%
Realmeter Oh My News 21–22 Jun 2,014 ±2.2%p 35.1% 47.7% 17.3% 12.6%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Withdrew his candidacy on 3 March 2022.
  2. ^ Withdrew his candidacy on 2 March 2022.
  3. ^ Progressive Party, Kim Jae-yeon, 0.5%. Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.1%. Saenuri Party, Ok Eun-ho, 0.1%. New Liberal Democratic Union, Kim Gyeong-jae, 0.1%.
  4. ^ Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.2%. Progressive Party, Kim Jae-yeon, 0.2%. Labor Party, Lee Baek-yoon, 0.1%.
  5. ^ Korean Unification Party, Lee Gyeong-hee, 0.3%.
  6. ^ Conducted with ARS Method.
  7. ^ Conducted with Interview Method.
  8. ^ New Liberal Democratic Union, Kim Gyeong-jae, 0.1%.
  9. ^ Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.3%.
  10. ^ Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.1%.
  11. ^ Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.8%
    National Revolutionary Party, Ko Young-Il, 0.3%.
  12. ^ Independent, Son Hak-gyu 1.3%.
    Progressive Party, Kim Jae-yeon 0.9%.
    Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.7%
    National Revolutionary Party, Kim Gyeong-jae, 0.4%.
  13. ^ Progressive Party, Kim Jae-yeon 0.3%.
    Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 1.4%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Former Top Prosecutor Joins S.Korea's Main Opposition PPP". KBS World. 30 July 2021. Retrieved 30 July 2021.
  2. ^ "Fmr. BAI Chief Announces Plans to Join Main Opposition PPP". KBS World. 15 July 2021. Retrieved 15 July 2021.
  3. ^ "Ex-Pres. Candidate Rejoins Main Opposition Party". KBS World. 24 June 2021. Retrieved 15 July 2021.