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Polonnaruwa Polling Division

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Polonnaruwa
Polling Division
Location of Polonnaruwa
Coordinates: 7°57′00″N 81°07′09″E / 7.950131°N 81.119102°E / 7.950131; 81.119102
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictPolonnaruwa Electoral District
Area
 • Total
1,503.12 km2 (580.36 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
195,857
 • Density130/km2 (300/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-18C

The Polonnaruwa Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Polonnaruwa Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Polonnaruwa has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Polonnaruwa is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Polonnaruwa Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.63% SLPP 1.63%
2015 NDF NDF 5.02% NDF 11.35%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.73% UPFA 4.00%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.96% UPFA 0.27%
1999 PA PA 0.23% PA 0.32%
1994 PA PA 0.67% PA 3.91%
1988 UNP UNP 2.06% UNP 1.82%
1982 UNP UNP 1.43% UNP 4.64%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 8/8 2.09% 8/8 3.49%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[4] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 62,882 50.33% 147,340 53.01% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 54,238 43.41% 112,473 40.47% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,045 4.04% 12,284 4.42% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,785 2.23% 5,827 2.10% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 124,950 98.94% 277,924 99.09% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,334 1.06% 2,563 0.91% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 126,284 85.10% 280,487 85.92% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 148,401 326,443 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[5] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 72,875 62.86% 147,974 57.80% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 41,961 36.19% 105,640 41.27% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,099 0.95% 2,382 0.93% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 115,935 99.27% 255,996 99.31% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 850 0.73% 1,790 0.69% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 116,785 79.87% 257,786 80.22% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 146,225 321,338 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[6] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 60,718 62.10% 144,889 64.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 35,473 36.28% 75,026 33.62% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,577 1.61% 3,260 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 97,768 99.28% 223,175 99.34% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 710 0.72% 1,472 0.66% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 98,478 75.26% 224,647 76.26% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 130,851 294,583 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[7] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,188 50.64% 110,499 52.61% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 44,951 48.24% 97,142 46.25% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,044 1.12% 2,389 1.14% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 93,183 99.01% 210,030 99.06% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 936 0.99% 2,002 0.94% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 94,119 77.18% 212,032 78.07% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 121,949 271,609 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[8] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 39,372 51.64% 88,663 51.55% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 32,472 42.59% 72,598 42.21% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,165 4.15% 8,020 4.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,240 1.63% 2,726 1.58% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 76,249 98.10% 172,007 98.20% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,473 1.90% 3,151 1.80% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 77,722 78.56% 175,158 78.11% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 98,929 224,239 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[9] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,865 58.39% 88,907 59.08% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 25,284 40.05% 59,287 39.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 987 1.56% 2,281 1.52% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 63,136 97.35% 150,475 97.43% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,716 2.65% 3,966 2.57% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 64,852 74.09% 154,441 75.73% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 87,535 203,940 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[10] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,179 53.43% 26,392 55.54% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 14,320 44.54% 20,173 42.45% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 651 2.02% 957 2.01% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 32,150 98.07% 47,522 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 634 1.93% 1,157 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 32,784 50.53% 48,679 29.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 64,885 164,213 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[11] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,616 58.21% 59,414 56.26% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,286 34.69% 37,243 35.26% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,161 6.10% 8,138 7.71% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 353 1.00% 820 0.78% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 35,416 98.81% 105,615 99.00% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 426 1.19% 1,064 1.00% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 35,842 81.36% 106,679 82.81% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 44,055 128,822 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Polonnaruwa has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Polonnaruwa is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Polonnaruwa Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2020 SLPFA SLPFA SLPFA
2015 UNP UNP 2.46% UNP 3.86%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.20% UPFA 5.14%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.87% UPFA 6.64%
2001 UNP UNP 0.81% UNP 2.89%
2000 UNP UNP 0.49% PA 2.38%
1994 PA PA 1.15% PA 2.65%
1989 UNP UNP 1.21% UNP 6.96%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.31% 7/7 4.36%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[14] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 79,724 72.65% 180,847 73.66% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 22,989 20.95% 47,281 19.46% 2,771,984 23.09%
UNP 2,826 2.58% 6,525 2.66% 249,435 2.15%
JJB 2,416 2.2% 6,792 2.77% 445,958 3.84%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,380 1.62% 3,574 1.45% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 109,735 73.42% 245,519 93.87% 11,598,929 93.97%
Rejected Votes 7,603 5.09% 16,020 6.13% 744,373 6.03%
Total Polled 117,338 78.5% 261,539 78.99% 12,343,302 75.89%
Registered Electors 149,466 331,109 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[15] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 56,387 53.14% 118,845 50.30% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 43,900 41.37% 103,172 43.67% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 5,502 5.19% 13,497 5.71% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 320 0.30% 765 0.32% 44,633 0.40%
Valid Votes 106,109 96.26% 236,279 96.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,017 3.64% 8,654 3.53% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 110,227 75.38% 245,116 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 146,225 307,125 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[16] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,998 68.17% 118,694 69.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 21,579 28.29% 45,732 26.68% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,453 3.22% 6,457 3.77% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 250 0.33% 515 0.30% 53,515 0.67%
Valid Votes 76,280 91.78% 171,398 92.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,804 8.19% 14,798 7.94% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 83,116 63.52% 186,269 63.10% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 130,851 295,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[17] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,936 55.45% 106,243 57.36% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 35,420 42.76% 75,664 40.85% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,067 1.29% 2,413 1.30% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 413 0.50% 890 0.48% 54,340 0.59%
Valid Votes 82,836 93.57% 185,210 93.57% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 5,683 6.42% 12,673 6.40% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 88,533 75.57% 197,934 77.91% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 117,148 254,061 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[18] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 39,349 48.53% 86,786 47.82% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 33,531 41.36% 73,679 40.60% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 7,280 8.98% 18,956 10.44% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 916 1.13% 2,076 1.14% 118,404 1.32%
Valid Votes 81,076 93.11% 181,497 93.87% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 5,995 6.89% 11,854 6.13% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 87,071 78.95% 193,351 80.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 110,281 240,444 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[19] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 35,197 45.77% 82,399 46.33% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 34,979 45.48% 80,023 44.99% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 4,691 6.10% 11,161 6.27% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,152 1.50% 2,311 1.30% 239,322 2.78%
NUA 886 1.15% 1,977 1.11% 185,593 2.16%
Valid Votes 76,905 N/A 177,871 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[20] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 33,381 50.05% 82,438 51.18% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 32,562 48.82% 76,706 47.62% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 750 1.12% 1,934 1.20% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 66,693 95.72% 161,078 96.16% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,984 4.28% 6,434 3.84% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 69,677 79.60% 167,512 82.06% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 87,535 204,138 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polonnaruwa[21] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,469 63.87% 43,473 62.33% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,973 32.58% 23,221 33.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,052 2.86% 1,933 2.77% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 250 0.68% 1,117 1.60% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 36,744 93.93% 69,744 92.98% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,376 6.07% 5,266 7.02% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 39,120 60.97% 75,010 45.81% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 64,163 163,745 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Polonnaruwa Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Polonnaruwa Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.7%) [1]

Ethnicity in Polonnaruwa[1]

  Sinhalese (87.1%)
  Moor (9.2%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (3.5%)
  Other (0.2%)

Religion

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The Polonnaruwa Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.0%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Polonnaruwa Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (89.7%) [1]

Religion in Polonnaruwa[1]

  Buddhist (86.0%)
  Muslim (9.3%)
  Hindu (3.4%)
  Other (1.3%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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