Simon Rosenberg
Simon Rosenberg | |
|---|---|
.jpg) Rosenberg in 2005 | |
| Born | October 23, 1963 New York City, U.S. |
| Education | Tufts University (BA) |
Simon Rosenberg (born October 23, 1963) is a Democratic political strategist and blogger. He was the founder of New Democrat Network (NDN), a centrist think tank and advocacy group based in Washington, D.C.[1]
According to the 2015 book How to Hack a Party Line: The Democrats and Silicon Valley, Rosenberg and NDN were instrumental in shifting control of the Democratic Party away from labor unions and toward Silicon Valley businesses.[2] Rosenberg said in 1999, "Our problem as a party is that the biggest source of our venture capital now comes from labor, which is a group that's becoming less and less important, and representing less and less of a percentage of American voters. [...] We have to replace labor's investment in the party with investment from another source, and hopefully from a source that's growing."[2]
Rosenberg shuttered NDN in March 2024.[3]
Background
[edit]Rosenberg was born on October 23, 1963, in New York City to Peter and Louise Rosenberg. He attended the Walden School (New York City) and then public schools in Wilton, Connecticut. He is a 1981 graduate of Wilton High School, and a 1985 graduate of Tufts University. In 1985, Rosenberg moved to New York City to work for ABC News, where he spent two years before joining the Dukakis for President Campaign in Des Moines, Iowa.[4]
He co-founded the New Democrat Network in 1996. He dissolved the organization in 2024.[5]
Analysis of 2024 presidential election
[edit]In 2024, Rosenberg posited that Republican organizations were "flooding the zone" with biased opinion polls showing Donald Trump leading, though Rosenberg asserted Trump actually was not. In October, Rosenberg said that twelve of the last fifteen presidential polls in Pennsylvania — a crucial battleground state — were produced by organizations with conservative or Republican affiliations. He asserted this phenomenon was spreading to all seven battleground states, and argued that its intent was to game the polling averages in Trump's favor. Rosenberg claimed the purpose was to bolster the confidence of the Trump base, while demoralizing the base of his opponent, Kamala Harris. He also argued that the purpose included providing an argument to claim the election had been stolen from Trump should he lose. Rosenberg pointed to a similar phenomenon in the 2022 midterm elections which created an expectation of a Republican "red wave" that did not materialize. He said the 2024 effort was much larger and included new participants, such as the Polymarket online betting market, and Elon Musk. In October, Polymarket showed a $30 million spike in wagers on Trump, pushing his odds of winning the election to 60%. The wagers were placed by one bettor.[6][7][8][9][10][11]
References
[edit]- ^ "Simon Rosenberg: Schmoozing With the A-List". Washington Post. January 11, 2024. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved May 24, 2024.
- ^ a b Miles, Sara (2015). How to hack a party line: the Democrats and Silicon Valley. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux. ISBN 9781466894242.[page needed]
- ^ Brownstein, Ronald (February 23, 2023). "Why This Democratic Strategist Walked Away". The Atlantic. Retrieved July 15, 2024.
- ^ "BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Simon Rosenberg, president of NDN". Politico. October 23, 2018.
- ^ Rosenberg, Simon (March 5, 2023). "America, the Democratic Party Are Entering A New Age - New Thinking, New Approaches Required Now". www.ndn.org. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
- ^ Manahan, Kevin (September 13, 2024). "Political strategist: Here's how GOP's phony polls will help Trump with the Big Lie". NJ.com.
- ^ Manahan, Kevin (October 13, 2024). "Harris vs. Trump analyst tells panicky Dems: GOP is creating fake polls – 'Desperate, unhinged, Trumpian'". NJ.com.
- ^ Rutenberg, Jim; Bensinger, Ken; Eder, Steve (December 31, 2022). "The 'Red Wave' Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative". The New York Times.
The skewed red-wave surveys polluted polling averages, which are relied upon by campaigns, donors, voters and the news media. It fed the home-team boosterism of an expanding array of right-wing media outlets — from Steve Bannon's "War Room" podcast and "The Charlie Kirk Show" to Fox News and its top-rated prime-time lineup. And it spilled over into coverage by mainstream news organizations, including The Times, that amplified the alarms being sounded about potential Democratic doom.
- ^ Osipovich, Alexander (October 18, 2024). "A Mystery $30 Million Wave of Pro-Trump Bets Has Moved a Popular Prediction Market". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 18, 2024.
Over the past two weeks, the chances of a Trump victory in the November election have surged on Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market. Its bettors were giving Trump a 60% chance of winning on Friday, while Harris's chances were 40%. The candidates were in a dead heat at the start of October ... But the surge might be a mirage manufactured by a group of four Polymarket accounts that have collectively pumped about $30 million of crypto into bets that Trump will win. "There's strong reason to believe they are the same entity," said Miguel Morel, chief executive of Arkham Intelligence, a blockchain analysis firm that examined the accounts.
- ^ Sargent, Greg; Tomasky, Michael (October 23, 2024). ""Red Wave" Redux: Are GOP Polls Rigging the Averages in Trump's Favor?". The New Republic.
- ^ Breuninger, Kevin (October 24, 2024). "French trader bet over $28 million on Trump election win using 4 Polymarket accounts". CNBC.