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Opinion polling for the next Ukrainian parliamentary election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the next Ukrainian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voter intention in Ukraine. The results of the polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Ukrainian parliamentary election, held on 21 July, to the day of the next election.

Credibility of polling firms

[edit]

In Ukraine, there are many unknown and unregistered polling firms.[1] They can suddenly establish and then disappear, be influenced by certain politicians, manipulate questions and the sample.[2][3] These pseudo-organizations make up opinion polls in the interests of certain politicians and parties, especially Viktor Medvedchuk and OPZZh.[4]

There is a whole database Sellers of ratings of the independent edition Texty, which includes 119 organizations and 220 individuals who have been spotted in the publication of dubious opinion polls or in the hidden PR of politicians.[5] For each of them there is a certificate and history of their activities.[6][7] There are also separately published the names of real companies with a positive reputation.[8] An important criterion of professional organization is membership in the Sociological Association of Ukraine (SAU).

As of January 2022, the following organizations are accredited members of the SAU:[9]

In 2018, GfK Ukraine employees founded a new company – Info Sapiens.[10]

Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation (DIF) also publishes objective data, but it is not a polling firm in the classical sense, but acts as a mediator between the public and polling firms.[11]

Graphical summary

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The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next Ukrainian parliamentary election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

Poll results

[edit]

The table below shows the poll results of accredited members of the Sociological Association of Ukraine and the poll results of the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation (DIF), which are sorted in reverse chronological order. The percentages that overcome the 5% electoral threshold are displayed in bold and the background of the highest percentages is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When the poll result is a tie, all figures with the highest percentages are shaded.

Since March 2024

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Polling firm Sample
size 		24
August 		Bloc of
Zaluzhnyi 		Bloc of
Arestovych 		Others Lead
22 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 SOCIS 3,000 21.1 3.6 7.5 1.7 1.4 7.0 6.8 46.4 1.5 3.2 25.3

October 2021 – July 2022

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Polling firm Sample
size 		24
August 		Others Lead
8 Jun – 12 Jul 2022 Banning of 16 pro-Russian parties, including OPZZh, OB, Nashi, PSh and SPU[12]
24–28 Mar 2022 Info Sapiens 1,000 52.0 1.3 5.2 12.6 0.6 0.6 5.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.4 3.1 9.5 3.9 0.8 39.4
20 Mar 2022 11 pro-Russian parties including OPZZh, OB, Nashi and PSh are suspended by the National Security and Defense Council for the period of martial law due to their ties to Russia[13][14]
24 Feb 2022 Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine
21 Feb 2022 Russia officially recognizes independence of Donetsk People's Republic and Luhansk People's Republic
16–21 Feb 2022 Info Sapiens 2,076 19.2 9.6 10.5 17.1 1.3 4.0 6.3 3.8 5.8 2.5 3.5 1.6 0.5 1.2 7.9 5.3 0.0 2.1
11–18 Feb 2022 Rating 4,800 19.6 9.5 11.5 17.7 3.9 7.6 5.4 4.8 3.2 3.1 3.2 6.7 3.9 1.9
8–18 Feb 2022 UIF 2,400 20 13 12 17 1 3 6 5 4 2 2 1 0.5 2 4 8 1 3
11–16 Feb 2022 SOCIS 2,000 16.2 10.7 10.0 23.2 2.1 2.3 7.1 6.3 6.2 1.8 3.2 1.5 8.5 0.9 7.0
12–13 Feb 2022 Rating 2,000 18.3 9.7 10.8 17.1 1.7 4.7 5.2 5.5 4.0 3.4 2.8 1.1 2.8 5.3 5.9 1.8 1.2
5–13 Feb 2022 KIIS 2,000 16.4 10.1 11.5 22.9 0.7 4.3 5.1 6.2 3.8 2.8 2.5 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.8 2.2 0.1 5.8 1.6 6.5
28–31 Jan 2022 Razumkov Centre 1,206 18.4 9.0 12.6 25.2 2.3 1.8 4.8 5.3 3.2 1.7 2.2 2.2 8.7 2.7 6.8
20–21 Jan 2022 KIIS 1,205 13.7 11.6 13.3 18.9 1.6 4.6 7.4 5.5 4.7 2.8 3.1 4.5 7.6 1.0 5.2
17–22 Dec 2021 DIF & Razumkov Centre 2,018 20.4 9.9 10.6 17.3 1.0 1.9 6.7 0.4 5.2 4.4 0.7 3.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.6 0.2 10.5 2.4 3.1
16–18 Dec 2021 Rating 2,500 19.2 10.5 11.1 14.1 2.2 4.2 6.5 5.7 6.8 2.6 3.5 1.6 4.0 6.0 2.2 5.1
9–17 Dec 2021 KIIS 2,025 17.6 13.6 13.7 16.5 1.6 3.4 5.5 4.4 4.6 1.8 1.9 2.3 1.9 3.5 6.5 1.2 1.1
14–16 Dec 2021 Rating 2,000 19.1 10.5 11.2 13.5 1.9 4.2 7.3 5.6 6.0 3.4 3.0 1.7 3.8 6.2 2.5 5.6
13–16 Dec 2021 KIIS 1,203 17.4 12.5 11.5 15.4 1.3 5.0 6.4 4.9 5.8 2.5 4.9 3.7 7.6 1.2 2.0
11–16 Dec 2021 SOCIS 2,000 17.9 11.5 12.2 18.1 2.2 1.9 6.2 5.3 5.2 2.6 5.3 2.1 8.1 1.3 0.2
3–11 Dec 2021 KIIS 2,000 18.4 9.0 9.1 19.8 1.7 5.2 7.0 4.4 5.1 4.0 3.3 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.5 2.6 0.2 4.8 1.1 1.4
28 Nov – 10 Dec 2021 UIF 2,400 19 13 14 16 1 2 5 5 4 2 2 2 0.1 2 3 9 1.1[a] 3
28 Nov – 10 Dec 2021 SMC 10,000 19.2 12.8 10.3 15.3 1.0 2.5 6.1 6.8 3.7 1.4 2.6 0.8 0.4 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.0 7.7 0.9[b] 3.9
6–8 Dec 2021 Rating 2,500 18.0 11.4 11.4 13.7 1.8 4.0 6.0 5.2 6.2 3.1 3.0 2.1 4.2 7.5 2.3 4.3
26–29 Nov 2021 KIIS 1,203 15.0 9.2 13.3 17.1 1.8 5.4 6.7 5.3 5.7 2.7 2.8 4.5 0.2 9.9 0.3 2.1
11–17 Nov 2021 Razumkov Centre 2,018 22.7 12.7 8.8 18.8 0.2 2.9 5.7 0.2 4.3 4.4 0.7 3.5 1.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.5 2.4 7.0 2.6 3.9
10–13 Nov 2021 Rating 2,500 18.0 10.7 10.1 13.9 1.7 4.5 6.4 5.5 5.0 3.1 2.1 1.6 1.5 3.7 1.1 1.8 7.9 1.6 4.1
4–9 Nov 2021 Rating 5,000 17.3 11.0 12.2 14.0 1.4 4.8 5.8 4.9 5.2 3.2 3.3 1.7 2.1 3.1 1.1 6.8 2.0 3.3
8 Nov 2021 Ex-chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Dmytro Razumkov announces the creation of the political group Smart Politics[15]
29 Oct – 4 Nov 2021 SOCIS 2,000 23.8 12.3 10.9 18.5 2.3 2.0 6.6 5.3 4.7 2.9 3.4 1.3 5.7 0.9 5.3
23 Oct – 2 Nov 2021 UIF 2,400 18 16 16 15 1 2 7 6 4 3 3 2 0.4 2 3 2.5[c] 3
25–29 Oct 2021 KIIS 2,028 18.3 17.0 15.4 15.1 1.7 4.5 5.6 2.3 3.7 2.2 2.7 1.2 0.3 2.6 0.7 0.2 4.5 2.0[d] 1.3
23–27 Oct 2021 Razumkov Centre 1,200 22.5 11.3 10.8 18.6 1.5 3.2 5.4 4.7 6.9 1.8 2.4 0.5 8.2 2.7 3.9
21–23 Oct 2021 Rating 2,500 20.4 12.0 10.9 15.8 2.2 4.8 6.4 6.3 5.3 3.8 2.9 1.9 4.2 3.3 4.6
14–20 Oct 2021 Razumkov Centre 2,018 21.6 12.9 11.1 15.8 0.4 2.5 6.0 0.4 6.4 3.8 1.7 2.0 2.9 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.7 2.2 8.0 5.8
15–18 Oct 2021 KIIS 1,200 15.5 13.0 13.6 15.7 1.6 5.6 8.6 5.7 5.6 3.6 4.4 1.8 1.2 2.4 1.1 0.7 0.2
7 Oct 2021 Verkhovna Rada votes to dismiss Dmytro Razumkov from his post as Chairman of the Parliament[16]

June 2021 – September 2021

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Polling firm Sample
size 		24
August 		Others Lead
18–28 Sep 2021 UIF 2,400 23 16 14 15 2 2 7 4 4 3 3 2 0.3 2 3 2.3[e] 7
16–21 Sep 2021 SOCIS 2,000 26.4 12.7 10.3 19.1 2.3 2.7 7.7 0.9 4.8 4.3 2.1 2.1 1.2 0.5 3.0 7.3
11–19 Sep 2021 SMC 3,010 24.7 17.1 11.2 15.9 1.6 2.7 5.8 0.7 4.8 1.1 2.4 0.6 2.1 0.7 1.3 0.7 2.5 7.6
10–15 Sep 2021 KIIS 2,002 20.0 11.6 10.8 17.4 0.6 5.0 7.8 5.5 5.0 3.5 1.8 1.0 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.6 2.1 1.5 2.6
2–4 Sep 2021 Rating 2,500 25.8 12.4 10.6 14.1 1.8 4.2 4.9 4.7 4.5 3.6 2.5 1.5 3.4 0.6 3.2 2.1 11.7
2–11 Aug 2021 SMC 3,012 24.9 16.2 12.6 15.2 0.9 2.8 5.9 0.9 4.7 1.3 2.8 0.8 2.4 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.4 8.7
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2021 Razumkov Centre 2,019 26.6 16.2 11.4 17.0 1.1 2.9 5.9 0.7 2.9 2.1 3.0 1.5 0.9 0.3 1.2 0.5 5.9 9.6
29 Jul – 3 Aug 2021 SOCIS 2,000 24.3 15.0 9.9 17.9 2.1 3.1 7.4 0.9 3.8 5.7 2.5 3.5 0.7 1.0 2.3 6.4
24 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 KIIS 2,028 20.2 18.3 16.0 14.2 2.1 4.0 6.3 1.8 4.7 2.3 3.6 1.6 0.6 2.8 0.3 1.1 1.9
23–25 Jul 2021 Rating 2,500 24.1 12.4 12.8 14.3 2.0 4.8 4.1 4.8 5.0 2.6 3.4 1.7 1.2 4.3 2.4 9.8
29 Jun – 9 Jul 2021 SMC 3,011 25.8 15.9 11.9 15.5 1.2 3.3 5.8 0.8 3.4 2.0 2.2 1.0 2.6 0.3 0.9 0.9 2.2 9.9
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2021 Rating 2,500 24.9 12.8 12.3 13.5 2.0 4.7 4.8 4.3 4.5 3.7 2.6 2.6 1.8 4.1 1.3 11.4
25–30 Jun 2021 SOCIS 2,000 24.8 13.3 10.8 18.1 2.9 2.0 8.3 1.5 2.1 4.9 2.9 3.6 1.6 0.7 2.6 6.7
22–29 Jun 2021 KIIS 2,031 20.6 16.9 14.7 15.0 1.9 5.7 7.0 1.7 5.1 3.7 2.2 1.5 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.2 3.7
18–28 Jun 2021 UIF 2,400 23 18 14 14 2 3 6 4 3 3 2 2 0.5 2 3.8[f] 5
11–16 Jun 2021 Razumkov Centre 2,018 28.1 15.0 10.5 19.1 1.1 2.5 6.0 1.2 3.7 0.8 2.7 3.0 0.4 0.1 1.8 0.2 3.8 9.0
26 May – 8 Jun 2021 SMC 3,004 23.3 15.9 11.1 15.3 1.8 4.2 4.9 1.0 4.5 2.8 1.8 0.9 2.3 0.4 0.9 0.7 5.1 7.4
1–7 Jun 2021 KIIS 2,003 20.3 11.9 12.0 18.5 2.1 4.2 7.2 4.2 4.2 3.4 1.8 0.9 3.5 1.5 0.8 1.1 2.1 0.5 1.8
28 May – 3 Jun 2021 SOCIS 2,000 21.0 13.5 12.9 18.2 3.2 2.8 7.0 0.7 2.2 3.5 3.4 3.5 2.2 1.1 4.7 2.8
27 May – 1 Jun 2021 KIIS 2,000 17.7 14.7 13.9 15.4 2.9 5.0 8.0 0.5 4.6 5.8 4.5 3.4 1.4 0.9 1.2 2.3

November 2020 – May 2021

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Polling firm Sample
size 		Others Lead
15–24 May 2021 UIF 2,400 22 17 15 14 2 3 6 4 4 3 2 2 0.5 3 4[g] 5
14–19 May 2021 DIF & Razumkov Centre 2,020 28.2 14.1 12.6 18.8 1.7 2.4 6.2 1.2 2.7 0.9 3.5 2.8 0.8 0.1 1.0 0.2 2.8 9.4
16–18 May 2021 Rating 2,500 24.8 13.2 11.8 13.5 3.3 4.1 5.0 4.0 3.8 3.1 3.7 1.8 1.9 4.0 1.9 11.3
28 Apr – 6 May 2021 SMC 3,017 23.5 20.1 11.8 17.9 1.6 3.3 4.9 0.4 4.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.8 0.7 0.9 0.4 1.1 3.4
22–29 Apr 2021 Razumkov Centre 2,021 28.2 15.0 10.8 18.3 2.7 2.5 6.4 0.9 3.0 1.9 2.3 1.8 0.9 5.4 9.9
23–27 Apr 2021 Rating 2,000 22.8 13.7 12.2 14.4 2.8 3.7 3.2 2.5 3.5 3.6 3.4 2.2 3.0 2.5 1.5 4.9 8.4
16–22 Apr 2021 KIIS 2,003 21.3 12.2 10.2 17.7 1.6 4.1 7.6 3.3 3.9 3.4 1.8 1.1 3.7 2.0 1.4 0.7 2.8 1.3 3.6
8–12 Apr 2021 SOCIS 2,000 22.7 12.0 10.8 20.4 3.3 3.1 6.4 0.9 1.9 4.8 1.5 3.8 1.1 0.7 6.6 2.3
6–7 Apr 2021 Rating 2,500 22.9 14.2 12.9 14.6 2.6 4.4 4.7 3.5 4.3 3.4 3.4 2.4 1.7 3.4 1.5 8.3
24–30 Mar 2021 SMC 3,000 23.9 20.5 11.5 16.1 1.7 3.1 4.9 0.4 4.0 3.2 2.0 0.3 2.8 0.7 0.9 0.4 1.1 3.4
23–24 Mar 2021 Rating 2,500 20.8 14.8 12.4 15.0 3.5 4.6 5.0 3.1 5.0 2.9 2.9 2.4 3.2 2.0 2.5 5.8
13–21 Mar 2021 Rating & IRI 2,400 22 17 12 17 2 4 4 1 1 4 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 5
3–13 Mar 2021 UIF 2,400 22 18 13 15 2 3 5 4 3 3 1 2 0.5 2 2.3[h] 4
5–9 Mar 2021 Razumkov Centre 2,018 26.5 17.9 9.4 20.1 3.4 2.0 5.2 1.2 3.0 1.6 3.4 1.3 1.1 3.8 6.4
2–3 Mar 2021 Rating 2,500 19.5 14.3 12.3 14.7 3.1 5.0 5.3 4.0 5.3 3.1 2.8 3.0 2.7 1.9 2.9 4.8
23 Feb – 1 Mar 2021 KIIS 1,207 21.3 18.1 14.4 15.0 3.6 4.4 5.0 3.7 2.6 4.4 1.2 2.4 0.0 2.6 0.4 0.9 3.2
19–28 Feb 2021 SMC 3,017 21.9 21.3 11.3 15 1.7 3.5 4.9 0.8 4.1 3.2 2.2 0.6 2.8 0.4 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.6
22–23 Feb 2021 Rating 2,500 19.7 14.2 12.0 16.2 3.3 4.9 4.4 3.5 5.1 3.2 3.8 2.8 3.2 1.9 2.0 3.5
19 Feb 2021 NSDC deploys sanctions against opposition MP Viktor Medvedchuk[17]
11–16 Feb 2021 KIIS & SOCIS 3,000 17.6 17.8 11.4 19.2 2.8 4.8 8.5 0.9 5.3 2.9 3.4 2.7 0.7 1.9 1.4
5–7 Feb 2021 KIIS 2,005 15.5 16.8 13.2 18.1 3.7 5.2 6.3 2.3 3.2 3.9 2.7 0.4 1.8 1.2 1.6 1.2 2.1 1.0 1.3
21 Jan – 5 Feb 2021 Info Sapiens 1,003 23.0 21.8 13.7 23.0 0.9 4.7 4.6 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.5 1.4 0.2 1.4 Tie
2–3 Feb 2021 Rating 2,000 18.6 18.9 12.2 15.2 3.5 4.7 4.5 4.8 3.4 3.1 4.4 0.4 2.4 1.4 2.6 0.3
1–3 Feb 2021 Info Sapiens 2,012 13.5 19.8 14.7 17.0 2.6 6.1 7.4 4.3 3.1 3.3 3.2 4.9 2.8
29 Jan – 3 Feb 2021 Razumkov Centre 2,019 22.2 21.9 10.3 18.1 2.7 2.5 4.7 1.1 2.3 2.1 2.5 2.4 1.2 5.8 0.3
27 Jan – 1 Feb 2021 KIIS 1,205 18.2 24.1 10.3 15.6 2.4 4.6 6.4 3.4 3.2 3.6 1.9 2.7 0.1 1.7 1.0 0.8 5.9
15–25 Jan 2021 SMC 3,014 20.7 22.6 11.3 15.6 1.2 3.8 4.9 0.9 3.3 2.2 3.3 1.1 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.7 3.3 1.9
22 Jan 2021 KIIS 1,005 11.2 20.7 12.6 15.3 5.6 8.3 3.1 5.3 4.6 3.8 2.4 1.0 4.4 1.7 5.4
2–4 Jan 2021 Rating 2,500 21.6 17.4 10.9 14.5 2.8 5.6 2.8 5.7 2.9 3.2 3.7 0.3 3.1 2.2 3.5 4.2
17–23 Dec 2020 KIIS 1,200 20.9 23.1 9.8 14.1 3.1 6.1 4.4 1.8 5.2 2.3 2.8 0.4 2.3 0.4 2.2 0.8 0.4 2.2
16–20 Dec 2020 Rating 2,000 21.1 17.3 10.9 15.2 3.5 4.8 3.8 4.8 3.4 3.4 4.3 0.6 3.3 1.6 2.1 3.8
5–13 Dec 2020 DIF 2,000 17.3 22.5 13.1 16.1 2.5 2.5 4.0 0.8 3.0 3.1 2.4 0.3 2.0 3.5 4.1 0.5 1.4 0.8 5.2
4–9 Dec 2020 Razumkov Centre 2,018 26.5 17.7 8.8 19.5 2.3 1.9 4.8 1.0 3.8 2.5 2.9 1.6 1.6 0.2 1.3 0.6 1.5[i] 7.0
4–8 Dec 2020 KIIS 2,000 19.0 17.4 10.1 16.9 3.5 3.2 5.6 1.7 3.8 3.3 2.9 0.4 3.2 1.9 3.2 1.0 1.8 1.2 1.6
18–26 Nov 2020 SMC 3,020 25.9 22.1 9.1 15.9 1.0 4.2 4.9 0.4 1.3 3.2 3.1 1.3 2.9 0.6 1.3 0.7 3.8
5–8 Nov 2020 KIIS 1,083 18.7 22.1 9.3 19.3 4.7 5.4 6.6 3.7 2.9 3.3 1.6 1.3 1.2 2.8
30 Oct – 5 Nov 2020 Razumkov Centre 2,020 27.9 16.5 8.2 21.2 2.6 1.8 4.8 0.6 1.7 2.2 3.9 2.1 1.8 0.7 1.4 2.7[j] 6.7
2–3 Nov 2020 Rating 2,000 22.7 17.1 8.0 15.4 3.6 4.3 4.3 3.1 3.4 3.5 4.5 0.9 3.7 2.4 3.3[k] 5.6
28 Oct – 2 Nov 2020 SOCIS 2,000 25.0 15.6 9.3 17.9 3.3 3.0 4.1 0.7 1.4 2.7 3.1 2.7 3.7 1.2 5.7 7.1

June 2020 – October 2020

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Polling firm Sample
size 		Others Lead
25 Oct 2020 2020 local election
17–24 Oct 2020 KIIS 1,502 20.6 22.1 9.2 16.0 4.2 5.0 5.4 2.9 2.8 4.0 3.9 0.5 3.3 1.5
20–29 Sep 2020 SMC 3,014 25.9 22.0 9.5 14.2 1.6 4.1 4.3 0.8 1.5 3.7 2.9 1.1 3.6 0.5 0.9 1.4 3.9
18–28 Sep 2020 SOCIS 2,000 23.3 14.3 8.3 18.4 3.3 2.6 4.5 0.9 1.8 3.3 3.6 1.7 3.5 0.9 9.6[l] 4.9
12–16 Sep 2020 KIIS 2,000 21.5 16.3 8.7 17.8 1.3 6.3 4.0 1.8 2.8 4.1 3.3 0.8 3.1 1.8 1.9 1.0 2.6 0.9 3.7
29 Aug – 3 Sep 2020 Rating 10,000 25.7 16.7 9.4 15.6 4.3 6.0 4.0 0.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 0.7 1.4 1.7 5.4[m] 9.0
14–19 Aug 2020 DIF & Razumkov Centre 2,018 29.5 21.7 11.5 15.5 1.8 2.7 4.6 1.5 1.3 2.2 2.4 0.8 4.5[n] 7.8
8–15 Aug 2020 SMC 3,012 26.7 21.3 9.8 12.5 1.8 3.3 4.9 0.9 1.4 3.6 2.3 1.1 3.8 0.9 0.8 2.4 5.4
5 Aug 2020 Rating 2,000 25.9 17.6 10.4 15.7 2.6 4.8 4.6 2.0 3.2 3.0 3.0 1.2 1.9 4.1 8.3
30–31 Jul 2020 Rating & IRI 2,472 30 17 8 16 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 9[o] 13
21–28 Jul 2020 SOCIS & Razumkov Centre 4,000 25.5 18.3 10.4 18.1 2.2 2.8 6.5 1.3 1.9 2.5 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.4 5.9[p] 7.2
15–20 Jul 2020 Rating 2,000 27.8 15.5 10.0 14.3 2.4 4.0 3.5 2.8 3.4 3.3 1.3 1.0 1.5 7.9 12.3
16–17 Jul 2020 Rating 2,000 27.9 18.0 11.4 14.7 3.1 5.2 4.3 1.0 3.3 3.4 3.2 0.7 0.8 3.0 9.9
8–15 Jul 2020 SMC 3,035 29.8 20.1 9.6 15.7 2.1 2.8 4.9 0.9 0.5 2.6 2.5 0.9 3.0 0.5 0.7 1.0 9.7
3–9 Jul 2020 Razumkov Centre 2,022 34.1 19.1 8.4 15.1 3.3 2.2 3.7 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.2 2.8 4.9[q] 15.0
24–30 Jun 2020 SOCIS 2,000 26.6 18.6 7.3 21.3 3.3 3.3 5.0 1.1 1.5 3.9 1.7 1.6 0.6 0.7 3.5[r] 5.3
24–28 Jun 2020 Rating 2,000 29.3 15.3 10.7 13.6 3.0 3.5 3.7 1.1 2.2 3.7 2.5 1.1 1.2 1.7 5.7 14.0
10–26 Jun 2020 Info Sapiens 1,000 34.3 14.1 10.8 14.5 1.5 2.6 4.3 3.0 3.1 2.8 2.2 2.7 0.9 1.9[s] 24.2
17–24 Jun 2020 Razumkov Centre 2,017 30.3 21.8 8.5 15.7 2.3 0.9 3.2 2.3 1.7 1.8 1.8 0.5 3.4 1.9 3.9[t] 8.5
10–19 Jun 2020 SMC 3,037 30.5 18.6 9.7 12.0 2.1 3.2 4.3 1.6 1.4 2.1 3.2 0.8 4.2 0.8 1.4 11.9
24 May – 4 Jun 2020 KIIS 4,000 28.0 17.7 8.0 16.2 3.8 4.5 4.7 1.6 2.6 4.7 2.3 0.7 2.9 1.4 4.6 10.3

July 2019 – May 2020

[edit]
Dates
conducted 		Polling firm Sample
size 		Others Lead
24–29 May 2020 SOCIS 2,000 33.9 16.3 8.3 15.4 3.9 3.4 3.6 2.0 2.4 3.5 2.3 1.7 3.1 17.6
14–17 May 2020 KIIS 2,000 31.2 17.4 8.9 14.8 3.6 3.1 3.5 2.7 2.6 3.9 2.0 0.2 2.8 0.7 1.5 13.8
12–13 May 2020 Rating 3,000 34.0 15.1 9.2 14.0 2.5 4.0 4.7 2.0 3.1 3.4 2.6 0.9 1.4 3.2 18.9
26–30 Apr 2020 KIIS 1,507 29.9 15.8 11.6 13.5 2.8 4.9 6.9 2.2 2.7 3.6 4.7 1.5 14.1
24–29 Apr 2020 Razumkov Centre 2,056 41.5 14.2 7.0 13.9 3.1 4.5 15.8 27.3
17–25 Apr 2020 KIIS 4,024 32.6 15.8 12.0 15.2 2.7 3.6 3.4 1.7 1.7 3.5 2.0 0.8 2.5 1.3 1.2 16.8
10–12 Apr 2020 Rating 2,000 38.1 14.1 9.1 15.4 3.0 2.8 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.9 1.9 0.9 0.9 5.5 22.7
13–23 Mar 2020 SOCIS 2,000 39.8 12.4 7.4 15.2 2.4 2.8 3.7 1.3 1.6 1.1 2.5 2.0 1.0 22.6
4–19 Mar 2020 Info Sapiens 1,000 38.7 13.0 8.5 14.5 1.8 1.9 5.1 3.0 4.7 2.2 1.9 2.0 0.8 1.7[u] 24.2
4 Mar 2020 Denys Shmyhal becomes the new Prime Minister[18]
Verkhovna Rada dismisses Prime Minister Oleksiy Honcharuk and his government[19]
8–18 Feb 2020 KIIS 2,038 39.1 15.6 9.0 10.8 0.9 4.2 4.6 3.4 1.0 1.8 2.7 2.5 1.5 2.3[v] 23.5
13–17 Feb 2020 Razumkov Centre 2,018 36.4 15.3 10.3 12.6 3.2 3.5 4.7 2.0 1.5 2.7 2.7 5.1 21.1
1–10 Feb 2020 SOCIS 2,000 40.6 13.5 10.9 13.6 3.4 3.4 3.9 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.2 2.2 1.6 27.0
24–28 Jan 2020 SMC 2,003 38.9 14.8 10.8 10.6 4.4 2.1 3.9 2.5 2.5 4.6 1.8 3.1[w] 24.1
20–27 Jan 2020 SOCIS 2,000 47.9 14.4 8.0 12.0 2.2 2.7 4.8 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.3 1.9 0.4 33.5
22–26 Jan 2020 Rating 2,500 42.2 13.5 8.1 9.5 3.4 2.4 3.6 1.4 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.5 2.3 0.5 5.4 28.7
17–21 Jan 2020 Razumkov Centre 2,000 45.4 13.8 8.0 12.3 2.5 2.9 5.2 0.9 2.2 0.5 1.6 0.6 2.9 1.1 31.6
13–17 Dec 2019 Rating 2,500 47.8 11.4 7.8 9.0 4.4 2.2 1.9 1.5 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.4 1.9 0.9 6.5 36.4
20–30 Nov 2019 SOCIS 2,000 46.6 13.1 7.4 14.4 4.5 2.3 3.5 1.3 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.9 32.2
20–24 Nov 2019 Rating 2,500 44.8 12.7 8.5 9.6 4.4 2.2 2.6 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.6 2.2 5.8 32.1
16–23 Oct 2019 SOCIS 2,000 54.1 10.3 6.3 10.7 5.3 1.5 3.7 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.7 0.9 43.4
21 Jul 2019 2019 election 43.16 13.05 8.18 8.10 5.82 4.01 3.82 3.03 2.41 2.23 2.15 1.04 0.62 2.38 30.11

Monthly averages

[edit]
Date 24
August 		Others Lead
March 2022 (1) 52.00 1.30 5.20 12.60 0.60 0.60 5.20 0.50 0.90 1.20 0.80 0.70 0.20 0.50 0.40 3.10 9.50 3.90 0.80 39.40
February 2022 (6) 18.28 10.43 11.05 19.17 1.36 3.70 6.22 5.37 4.77 2.50 2.87 0.90 1.25 1.17 0.60 2.13 3.20 0.10 5.73 6.70 1.53 0.89
January 2022 (2) 16.05 10.30 12.95 22.05 1.95 3.20 6.10 5.40 3.95 2.25 2.65 3.35 8.15 1.85 6.00
December 2021 (10) 18.62 11.47 11.51 15.97 1.57 3.43 6.27 0.40 5.25 5.18 2.41 3.28 0.90 0.60 1.73 1.18 0.30 2.77 0.40 1.30 0.10 3.25 7.39 1.62 2.65
November 2021 (8) 19.13 12.21 11.95 16.08 1.30 3.26 6.16 0.20 5.39 4.59 2.38 2.84 1.50 1.65 1.42 0.30 2.38 0.83 1.25 0.10 2.80 7.71 1.49 3.05
October 2021 (7) 20.01 13.50 12.67 16.36 1.53 3.51 6.51 0.40 5.24 4.86 2.71 2.97 2.90 1.90 1.35 0.50 2.27 0.70 0.60 2.60 6.13 2.87 3.65
September 2021 (5) 23.98 13.96 11.38 16.30 1.66 3.32 6.64 2.37 4.50 4.52 2.66 2.36 0.80 2.45 1.35 1.40 0.47 2.50 0.70 0.60 3.10 2.28 7.68
August 2021 (4) 24.00 16.43 12.48 16.08 1.55 3.20 6.38 0.83 2.80 4.50 2.05 3.23 0.80 1.95 0.60 1.08 0.63 2.00 0.50 1.10 0.30 2.68 7.57
July 2021 (6) 24.32 15.10 12.38 15.40 1.75 3.80 5.72 0.80 3.68 4.37 2.53 3.05 1.00 2.05 1.53 1.18 0.63 3.10 0.50 0.90 0.30 2.53 8.92
June 2021 (10) 22.95 14.79 12.41 16.26 2.11 3.74 6.50 1.41 2.98 4.36 3.02 2.68 0.93 2.68 1.20 1.35 0.71 2.32 0.20 0.80 1.60 2.54 6.69
May 2021 (7) 22.93 15.50 12.73 16.16 2.36 3.54 6.00 0.76 3.60 4.07 3.09 2.86 0.60 2.48 0.97 1.44 0.65 2.67 0.20 0.55 2.97 6.77
April 2021 (6) 23.57 14.53 11.45 17.22 2.43 3.52 5.53 1.38 2.63 3.95 2.78 2.63 0.70 2.77 1.83 1.62 0.70 2.40 0.95 3.47 6.35
March 2021 (7) 22.29 17.23 12.14 16.13 2.76 3.73 4.91 0.87 2.70 4.14 2.77 3.07 0.65 1.53 0.97 2.12 0.50 2.10 0.40 1.43 2.50 5.06
February 2021 (10) 19.15 19.47 12.35 17.24 2.72 4.54 5.67 1.28 3.50 3.85 2.92 2.97 0.50 2.33 1.18 2.28 0.48 2.23 0.75 1.35 2.23 0.32
January 2021 (6) 19.48 21.42 11.52 17.02 2.60 4.24 5.28 1.70 3.72 2.77 2.85 1.10 2.45 1.90 2.08 0.48 2.36 1.13 0.70 2.75 1.94
December 2020 (5) 20.96 19.60 10.54 16.36 2.98 3.70 4.52 1.33 4.12 2.92 2.88 0.35 2.27 1.93 3.10 0.54 2.00 1.00 1.20 1.36
November 2020 (5) 24.04 18.68 8.78 17.94 3.04 3.74 4.94 0.57 2.24 2.88 3.38 1.30 2.57 0.60 2.58 1.03 3.70 1.90 2.72 5.36
October 2020 (3) 24.50 18.07 8.90 18.37 3.37 3.27 4.77 0.65 2.00 2.57 3.67 2.40 3.13 0.80 1.40 3.90 6.13
September 2020 (4) 24.10 17.33 8.98 16.50 2.63 4.75 4.20 1.00 2.15 3.65 3.08 0.95 2.28 1.15 1.93 0.95 2.15 4.33 6.77
August 2020 (4) 26.95 19.33 10.28 14.83 2.63 4.20 4.53 1.23 2.10 3.08 2.55 1.10 1.63 0.90 1.10 1.80 4.10 7.62
July 2020 (6) 29.18 18.00 9.63 15.65 2.52 3.17 4.15 1.34 2.02 2.72 2.53 0.90 2.23 0.77 0.65 0.40 1.50 5.28 11.18
June 2020 (6) 29.83 17.68 9.17 15.55 2.67 3.00 4.20 1.78 2.08 3.17 2.28 0.67 2.65 1.24 1.15 0.70 0.20 3.47 12.15
May 2020 (4) 31.78 16.63 8.60 15.10 3.45 3.75 4.13 2.08 2.68 3.88 2.30 0.45 2.08 3.10 15.15
April 2020 (4) 35.53 14.98 9.93 14.50 2.90 3.77 4.13 1.90 2.03 3.33 2.87 0.80 1.70 1.10 6.00 20.55
March 2020 (2) 39.25 12.70 7.95 14.85 2.10 2.35 4.40 2.15 3.15 1.65 2.20 2.00 0.80 1.35 24.40
February 2020 (3) 38.70 14.80 10.07 12.33 2.50 3.70 4.40 2.47 1.47 1.65 2.20 2.47 1.50 3.00 23.90
January 2020 (4) 43.60 14.13 8.73 11.10 3.13 2.53 4.38 1.45 1.00 1.67 1.63 2.55 0.45 2.37 1.15 2.50 29.47
December 2019 (1) 47.80 11.40 7.80 9.00 4.40 2.20 1.90 1.50 0.60 1.00 1.60 2.40 1.90 0.90 6.50 36.40
November 2019 (2) 45.70 12.90 7.95 12.00 4.45 2.25 3.05 1.25 1.45 1.75 1.70 1.70 3.35 32.80
October 2019 (1) 54.10 10.30 6.30 10.70 5.30 1.50 3.70 1.50 1.40 1.60 1.10 1.70 0.90 43.40
2019 election 43.16 13.05 8.18 8.10 5.82 4.01 3.82 3.03 2.41 2.23 2.15 1.04 0.62 2.38 30.11

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 0.1
  2. ^ Agrarian Party – 0.3
  3. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 0.5
  4. ^ Dovira – 0.9
  5. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 0.3
  6. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 0.8
  7. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 1
  8. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 0.3
  9. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 0.9
  10. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 0.5
  11. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 1.6
  12. ^ Party of Greens – 2.0
  13. ^ Triumph of Palchevskyy – 2.1
  14. ^ Democratic Axe – 0.4
  15. ^ Bloc of Hennadiy Kernes – 1
  16. ^ Party of Greens – 1.2
  17. ^ Democratic Axe – 0.1
  18. ^ Party of Greens – 2.1
  19. ^ Movement of New Forces – 1.0, Agrarian Party of Ukraine – 0.5, Power of the People - 0.2
  20. ^ People's Front – 0.2
  21. ^ Movement of New Forces – 0.2, Agrarian Party of Ukraine – 0.1, Power of the People - 0.2
  22. ^ Party of Greens – 0.9
  23. ^ Agrarian Party – 0.8, Movement of New Forces – 0.7

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "«Продавці рейтингів»: в Україні нарахували понад 300 фейкових служб і піарників" (in Ukrainian).
  2. ^ "Соціологічні опитування – довіряй, але перевіряй" (in Ukrainian).
  3. ^ "Українці стали менше довіряти соціологам" (in Ukrainian).
  4. ^ "На користь Медведчука та ОПЗЖ роблять багато псевдорейтингів — аналітикиня" (in Ukrainian).
  5. ^ "ПРОДАВЦІ РЕЙТИНГІВ" (in Ukrainian).
  6. ^ "Фірми" (in Ukrainian).
  7. ^ "Персоналії" (in Ukrainian).
  8. ^ "Кому вірити?" (in Ukrainian).
  9. ^ "Акредитовані САУ організації" (in Ukrainian).
  10. ^ "Про нас" (in Ukrainian).
  11. ^ "Кому вірити?" (in Ukrainian).
  12. ^ "Суд заборонив уже 16-тий проросійський проєкт. Що це за партія?". ЧЕСНО (in Ukrainian). 2022-07-12. Retrieved 2022-07-27.
  13. ^ "Зеленский: РНБО призупиняє діяльність ОПЗЖ, Партії Шарія та інших". Українська правда (in Ukrainian). Retrieved 2022-03-20.
  14. ^ "As it happened: Ukraine war latest: Resilience making Russia assess reality, negotiator says". BBC News.
  15. ^ "Razumkov registered an association of people's deputies in line with the party's name - "Smart Politics"". Chesno (in Ukrainian). Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  16. ^ "Ukrainian Lawmakers Vote To Remove Parliament Speaker Razumkov". Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 7 October 2021. Retrieved 2021-10-07.
  17. ^ "РНБО ввела санкції щодо Віктора Медведчука та Оксани Марченко" (in Ukrainian). BBC. 19 Feb 2021.
  18. ^ "Денис Шмигаль – новий прем'єр України". Ukrayinska Pravda (in Ukrainian). 4 Mar 2021.
  19. ^ "Рада відправила у відставку Гончарука з його урядом". Ukrayinska Pravda (in Ukrainian). 4 Mar 2021.
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