Talk:Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

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Section sizes

Section size for Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election (37 sections)
Section name	Byte count	Section total
(Top)	1,318	1,318
Seat projections	210	201,147
Polling graph	465	465
Polls	1,256	200,472
2024	129,226	129,226
2022–23	69,990	69,990
Voting intention polls (reported as percentages)	10,176	10,176
Scenario polls	265	183,942
Labor-Meretz scenarios	12,109	12,109
New party scenarios	105,181	105,181
Alternative leadership scenarios	13,873	13,873
Other scenarios and scenario combinations	52,514	52,514
Preferred prime minister	31	77,440
Netanyahu vs. Gantz	34,164	34,164
Netanyahu vs. Bennett	4,531	4,531
Netanyahu vs. Lieberman	1,874	1,874
Netanyahu vs. Lapid	23,506	23,506
Gantz vs. Bennett	952	952
Netanyahu vs. Barkat	897	897
Netanyahu vs. Gallant	885	885
Gantz vs. Lieberman	1,201	1,201
Netanyahu vs. Eisenkot	1,300	1,300
Gantz vs. Levin	1,179	1,179
Lapid vs. Levin	1,427	1,427
Netanyahu vs. Gantz vs. Lapid	3,539	3,539
Open question	1,954	1,954
Approval ratings	23	21,380
Government party figures	18,374	18,374
Opposition party figures	2,983	2,983
Other questions	20	3,023
Inclusion of ultra-orthodox parties in the next government	385	385
Voting intention relative to vote in previous election	1,005	1,005
Whether voters intend to vote for the same party as they did in 2022	920	920
Satisfaction with result of 2022 election	693	693
See also	100	100
Notes	24	24
References	202	202
Total	498,752	498,752

Archives

Archive 1

This page has archives. Sections older than 90 days may be automatically archived by when more than 5 sections are present.

May 5 poll

@Carmon456, you added some results that I can't find in the reference. Where did you get this info? Do you have another reference for that?

Empty row for new scenario poll

Hi @Sutapurachina, the first row of the new Kan 11 scenario poll is empty. Is that intentional? Misha Wolf (talk) 13:24, 18 September 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Hello, indeed it is. The poll was posted with only the scenario poll attached. Since there have been similar scenario polls stylized in the same way, that is how I chose to do it as well. Sutapurachina (talk) 22:00, 18 September 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Scenario poll years

Hi @Sutapurachina and others, it would be helpful if all poll dates included the year except where this is made clear by a heading (as is the case in the main table). Thanks Misha Wolf (talk) 13:27, 18 September 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Should New Hope be counted in the Government Bloc going forward?

Sa'ar recently rejoined the government. Unlike after October 7, which was an emergency unity government, this seems to be a more substantial rapprochement with Netanyahu and burning of bridges with the opposition (https://www.timesofisrael.com/as-he-officially-rejoins-government-saar-blasts-opposition-for-living-in-oct-6/). It seems to me that for future polls, New Hope should be included in the government column, even though we didn't do that for the previous unity government. Jacoby531 (talk) 00:00, 1 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

That makes sense to me. David O. Johnson (talk) 00:22, 1 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

I've gone ahead and made the changes. David O. Johnson (talk) 05:59, 3 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Semi-protected edit request on 13 December 2024

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There have been four other polls this week, so please update: i24 (maagar mochot): https://www.i24news.tv/he/news/news/politics/artc-ba9e532e

Likud 27, RZ 4, Otzma Yehudit 10, Noam -, Shas 9, UTJ 7, New Hope 0 (% not reported), Gov. Total 57 Yesh Atid 14, National Unity 19, Yisrael Beitenu 11, Ra'am 5, Democrats 9, Opp. Total 58 Hadash-Ta'al 5, Balad 0 (% not reported)

Channel 14 (Direct Polls): https://www.now14.co.il/article/1071576

Likud 34, RZ 5, Otzma Yehudit 6, Noam -, Shas 10, UTJ 8, New Hope (0.2%), Gov. Total 63 Yesh Atid 10, National Unity 14, Yisrael Beitenu 11, Ra'am 5, Democrats 12, Opp. Total 52 Hadash-Ta'al 5, Balad (2.2%)

Channel 12 (Midgam): https://www.mako.co.il/news-politics/2024_q4/Article-3a2514386bbb391026.htm

Likud 25, RZ (2.1%), Otzma Yehudit 9, Noam -, Shas 9, UTJ 8, New Hope (1.0%), Gov. Total 51 Yesh Atid 16, National Unity 19, Yisrael Beitenu 13, Ra'am 5, Democrats 11, Opp. Total 64 Hadash-Ta'al 5, Balad (2.4%)

Maariv (Lazar): https://www.maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1155847

Likud 25, RZ (2.4%), Otzma Yehudit 8, Noam -, Shas 10, UTJ 7, New Hope (1.9%), Gov. Total 50 Yesh Atid 14, National Unity 19, Yisrael Beitenu 14, Ra'am 5, Democrats 13, Opp. Total 65 Hadash-Ta'al 5, Balad (2.0%)

There are also Benet-related scenario polls in all these polls except for Channel 14, as well as in the poll of Channel 13 already included.

Finally, the Channel 13 poll this week was carried out by Maagar Mochot (together with Panel and Stat-Net), not by Lazar.

It'll be great if you grant me editing permissions as I have been monitoring the polls consistently. Beckeroy (talk) 09:24, 13 December 2024 (UTC)[reply]

+1 to that request. The current data is just wrong, given its attribution to Lazar. It would also be great to have the Bennet included results displayed, since this seems like a likely scenario and will more and more frequently be polled. EntropyTV (talk) 16:17, 13 December 2024 (UTC)[reply]