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2024 United States House of Representatives election ratings

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2024 United States House of Representatives election ratings
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections will be held November 5, 2024, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2024 U.S. Senate elections and 2024 presidential election, will also be held on this date.

Election ratings

[edit]

Latest published ratings for competitive seats

[edit]

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The 93 seats listed below are considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. Of the remaining 342 seats, 167 are considered "safe" Democratic, and 175 "safe" Republican. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

In total there are 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 218 are needed for a majority, while 290 seats are needed for a two-thirds supermajority (if all members are sitting and voting).

Graphical summary of national polls

Most election ratings use:

  • Tossup: no advantage
  • Tilt (sometimes used): very slight advantage
  • Lean: significant, but not overwhelming advantage
  • Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
  • Safe or Solid: outcome is nearly certain

The following are the latest published ratings for competitive seats.

District CPVI
[1] 		Incumbent Last result[2] Cook
Nov. 1,
2024[3] 		IE
Oct. 31,
2024[4] 		Sabato
Nov. 4,
2024[5] 		ED
Nov. 4,
2024[6] 		CNalysis
Nov. 4,
2024[7] 		DDHQ
Oct. 28,
2024[8] 		RCP
Oct. 26,
2024[9] 		538[a]
Nov. 5,
2024[10] 		Fox
Oct. 29,
2024[11] 		ST
Oct. 26,
2024[12] 		Result
Alabama 2 D+4 New seat – Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Solid D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Figures
(flip)
Alaska at-large R+8 Mary Peltola 55.0% D Tossup Tilt R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tilt D Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Lean D Tossup Begich
(flip)
Arizona 1 R+2 David Schweikert 50.4% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Lean D (flip) Tilt R Lean R Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Schweikert
Arizona 2 R+6 Eli Crane 53.8% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Very Likely R Safe R Solid R Likely R Likely R Lean R Crane
Arizona 4 D+2 Greg Stanton 56.1% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Likely D Solid D Solid D Solid D Likely D Stanton
Arizona 6 R+3 Juan Ciscomani 50.7% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Tilt R Likely R Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean R Ciscomani
California 3 R+4 Kevin Kiley 53.6% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Kiley
California 9 D+5 Josh Harder 54.8% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Solid D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Safe D Harder
California 13 D+4 John Duarte 50.2% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tossup Likely D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) TBD
California 21 D+9 Jim Costa 54.2% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Solid D Solid D Solid D Safe D Costa
California 22 D+5 David Valadao 51.5% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Tilt D (flip) Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Valadao
California 27 D+4 Mike Garcia 53.2% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Lean R Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Whitesides
(flip)
California 40 R+2 Young Kim 56.8% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Kim
California 41 R+3 Ken Calvert 52.3% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Lean R Tilt R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Calvert
California 45 D+2 Michelle Steel 52.4% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup TBD
California 47 D+3 Katie Porter
(retiring) 		51.7% D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean R (flip) Lean D Tossup Tossup Likely D Lean D Lean D Min
California 49 D+3 Mike Levin 52.6% D Lean D Lean D Likely D Lean D Solid D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Levin
Colorado 3 R+7 Open seat[b] 50.1% R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Hurd
Colorado 5 R+9 Doug Lamborn
(retiring) 		56.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Very Likely R Safe R Lean R Solid R Solid R Safe R Crank
Colorado 8 EVEN Yadira Caraveo 48.4% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Evans
(flip)
Connecticut 5 D+3 Jahana Hayes 50.5% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Lean D Lean D Hayes
Florida 4 R+6 Aaron Bean 60.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Likely R Bean
Florida 9 D+8 Darren Soto 53.6% D Likely D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Likely D Lean D Solid D Likely D Safe D Soto
Florida 13 R+6 Anna Paulina Luna 53.1% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Tilt R Likely R Solid R Likely R Likely R Tossup Luna
Florida 15 R+4 Laurel Lee 58.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Very Likely R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Likely R Lee
Florida 23 D+5 Jared Moskowitz 51.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D Lean D Solid D Solid D Safe D Moskowitz
Florida 27 EVEN María Elvira Salazar 57.3% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Salazar
Florida 28 R+2 Carlos A. Giménez 63.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Likely R Solid R Solid R Solid R Likely R Gimenez
Georgia 2 D+3 Sanford Bishop 55.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Likely D Likely D Solid D Solid D Likely D Bishop
Illinois 17 D+2 Eric Sorensen 51.9% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Likely D Sorensen
Indiana 1 D+3 Frank J. Mrvan 52.8% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Likely D Likely D Mrvan
Iowa 1 R+3 Mariannette Miller-Meeks 53.4% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean R Tilt D (flip) Likely R Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R Miller-Meeks
Iowa 2 R+4 Ashley Hinson 54.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Lean R Solid R Solid R Likely R Hinson
Iowa 3 R+3 Zach Nunn 50.2% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Nunn
Kansas 3 R+1 Sharice Davids 54.9% D Likely D Solid D Likely D Safe D Solid D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Davids
Louisiana 6 D+8 Garret Graves
(retiring) 		80.4% R Solid D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Safe D (flip) Solid D (flip) Safe D (flip) Likely D (flip) Solid D (flip) Solid D (flip) Safe D (flip) Fields
(flip)
Maine 2 R+6 Jared Golden 53.1% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Lean D Tilt D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Lean D Golden
Maryland 6 D+2 David Trone
(retiring) 		54.7% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Safe D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D Trone
Michigan 3 D+1 Hillary Scholten 54.9% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D Solid D Lean D Tossup Likely D Likely D Likely D Scholten
Michigan 4 R+5 Bill Huizenga 54.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Very Likely R Likely R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R Huizenga
Michigan 7 R+2 Elissa Slotkin
(retiring) 		51.7% D Lean R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tilt D Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Lean R (flip) Barrett
(flip)
Michigan 8 R+1 Dan Kildee
(retiring) 		53.1% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Lean D Tilt D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Lean D McDonald Rivet
Michigan 10 R+3 John James 48.8% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tilt R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R James
Minnesota 2 D+1 Angie Craig 50.9% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Tossup Likely D Lean D Likely D Craig
Missouri 2 R+7 Ann Wagner 54.9% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Very Likely R Safe R Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R Wagner
Montana 1 R+6 Ryan Zinke 49.6% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R Zinke
Nebraska 2 EVEN Don Bacon 51.3% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Lean D (flip) Bacon
Nevada 1 D+3 Dina Titus 51.6% D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Tossup Solid D Likely D Likely D Titus
Nevada 3 D+1 Susie Lee 52.0% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Likely D Likely D Lee
Nevada 4 D+3 Steven Horsford 52.4% D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Likely D Likely D Horsford
New Hampshire 1 EVEN Chris Pappas 54.0% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Likely D Likely D Pappas
New Hampshire 2 D+2 Annie Kuster
(retiring) 		55.8% D Solid D Solid D Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Lean D Solid D Likely D Likely D Goodlander
New Jersey 2 R+5 Jeff Van Drew 58.9% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Likely R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R Van Drew
New Jersey 3 D+5 Andy Kim
(retiring) 		55.5% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Likely D Likely D Solid D Solid D Safe D Conaway
New Jersey 5 D+4 Josh Gottheimer 54.7% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Solid D Safe D Gottheimer
New Jersey 7 R+1 Thomas Kean Jr. 51.3% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Kean Jr.
New Mexico 2 D+1 Gabe Vasquez 50.3% D Tossup Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Tossup Lean D Vasquez
New York 1 R+4[c] Nick LaLota 55.5% R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Lean R LaLota
New York 2 R+4[c] Andrew Garbarino 60.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Very Likely R Likely R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R Garbarino
New York 3 D+3[c] Tom Suozzi 53.9% D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Safe D Suozzi
New York 4 D+5[c] Anthony D'Esposito 51.8% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Tossup Tossup Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Tossup Gillen
(flip)
New York 17 D+3[c] Mike Lawler 50.3% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Tilt R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lawler
New York 18 D+2[c] Pat Ryan 50.6% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Ryan
New York 19 R+1[c] Marc Molinaro 50.8% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Riley
(flip)
New York 22 D+3[c] Brandon Williams 50.5% R Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Likely D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Mannion
(flip)
North Carolina 1 R+1 Don Davis 52.4% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Likely D Tossup Lean D Davis
North Carolina 6 R+11 New seat – Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Solid R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) McDowell
(flip)
North Carolina 13 R+11 Wiley Nickel
(retiring) 		51.6% D Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Knott
(flip)
North Carolina 14 R+11 Jeff Jackson
(retiring) 		57.7% D Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Moore
(flip)
Ohio 1 D+2 Greg Landsman 52.8% D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Landsman
Ohio 9 R+3 Marcy Kaptur 56.6% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Solid D Likely D Tossup Lean D Kaptur
Ohio 13 R+1 Emilia Sykes 52.7% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tossup Likely D Tossup Lean D Sykes
Oregon 4 D+4 Val Hoyle 50.5% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Hoyle
Oregon 5 D+2 Lori Chavez-DeRemer 50.9% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Bynum
(flip)
Oregon 6 D+4 Andrea Salinas 50.0% D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Likely D Likely D Salinas
Pennsylvania 1 EVEN Brian Fitzpatrick 54.9% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Very Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Fitzpatrick
Pennsylvania 7 R+2 Susan Wild 51.0% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tossup Lean D Lean D Lean D Mackenzie
(flip)
Pennsylvania 8 R+4 Matt Cartwright 51.2% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D Tossup Lean D Bresnahan
(flip)
Pennsylvania 10 R+5 Scott Perry 53.8% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Tossup Tossup Likely R Tossup Tossup Perry
Pennsylvania 17 EVEN Chris Deluzio 53.4% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Deluzio
South Carolina 1 R+7 Nancy Mace 56.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Very Likely R Safe R Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R Mace
Tennessee 5 R+9 Andy Ogles 55.8% R Solid R Solid R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R Ogles
Texas 15 R+1 Monica De La Cruz 53.3% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R De La Cruz
Texas 28 D+3 Henry Cuellar 56.7% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Safe D Cuellar
Texas 34 D+9 Vicente Gonzalez 52.7% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Lean D Likely D Gonzalez
Virginia 1 R+6 Rob Wittman 56.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R Wittman
Virginia 2 R+2 Jen Kiggans 51.6% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Kiggans
Virginia 7 D+1 Abigail Spanberger
(retiring) 		52.2% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tossup Likely D Tossup Lean D Vindman
Virginia 10 D+6 Jennifer Wexton
(retiring) 		53.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D Tossup Solid D Solid D Safe D Subramanyam
Washington 3 R+5 Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 50.1% D Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Lean D Tilt D Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Glusenkamp Perez
Washington 8 D+1 Kim Schrier 53.3% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Schrier
Wisconsin 1 R+3 Bryan Steil 54.1% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Solid R Likely R Likely R Likely R Steil
Wisconsin 3 R+4 Derrick Van Orden 51.8% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Tossup Likely R Lean R Lean R Van Orden
Overall D – 205
R – 208
22 tossups 		D – 214
R – 213
8 tossups 		D – 218
R – 217
0 tossups 		D – 219
R – 216
0 tossups 		D – 225
R – 210
0 tossups 		D – 207
R – 209
19 tossups 		D - 192
R - 201
42 tossups 		D - 216
R - 214
5 tossups 		D - 205
R - 208
22 tossups 		D - 214
R - 209
12 tossups 		TBD
  1. ^ "2022 Cook PVI: District Map and List". Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 7, 2022.
  2. ^ "House of Representatives Results: GOP wins the majority". CNN. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  3. ^ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 4, 2024.
  4. ^ "2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. October 31, 2024.
  5. ^ "2024 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 24, 2024.
  6. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved October 18, 2024.
  7. ^ "'24 House Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 19, 2023.
  8. ^ "2024 House Forecast | The Hill and DDHQ". The Hill. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
  9. ^ https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/house/2024/toss-up
  10. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. November 2, 2024. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
  11. ^ https://www.foxnews.com/politics/power-rankings-arizona-trumps-lose-election-anyones-win
  12. ^ https://split-ticket.org/house-2024-ratings/

Generic ballot polls

[edit]

The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2024 House of Representatives elections.

Polling aggregates
Source of poll aggregation Date updated Dates polled Democratic Republican Others/
Undecided
[d] 		Lead
RealClearPolitics[1] October 29, 2024 September 11 – October 24, 2024 46.8% 47.6% 5.6% R +0.8%
FiveThirtyEight[2] October 28, 2024 through October 8, 2024 46.4% 45.7% 7.9% D +0.7%
Decision Desk HQ[3] October 29, 2024 through October 8, 2024 46.3% 46.4% 7.3% R +0.1%
Average 46.5% 46.6% 6.9% R +0.1%

Party listings

[edit]

The two parties' campaign committees (the National Republican Congressional Committee and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee) published their own lists of targeted seats.

Republican-held seats

[edit]

On April 3, 2023, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee released their target seat list which included Republican-held seats and open seats.[4]

  1. Arizona 1: David Schweikert
  2. Arizona 6: Juan Ciscomani
  3. California 3: Kevin Kiley
  4. California 13: John Duarte
  5. California 22: David Valadao
  6. California 27: Mike Garcia
  7. California 40: Young Kim
  8. California 41: Ken Calvert
  9. California 45: Michelle Steel
  10. Colorado 3: Open Seat
  11. Florida 13: Anna Paulina Luna
  12. Florida 27: Maria Elvira Salazar
  13. Iowa 1: Mariannette Miller-Meeks
  14. Iowa 3: Zach Nunn
  15. Montana 1: Ryan Zinke
  16. Michigan 10: John James
  17. Nebraska 2: Don Bacon
  18. New Jersey 7: Thomas Kean Jr.
  19. New York 1: Nick LaLota
  20. New York 4: Anthony D'Esposito
  21. New York 17: Mike Lawler
  22. New York 19: Marc Molinaro
  23. New York 22: Brandon Williams
  24. Oregon 5: Lori Chavez-DeRemer
  25. Pennsylvania 1: Brian Fitzpatrick
  26. Pennsylvania 10: Scott Perry
  27. Texas 15: Monica De La Cruz
  28. Virginia 2: Jen Kiggans
  29. Wisconsin 1: Bryan Steil
  30. Wisconsin 3: Derrick Van Orden

Democratic-held seats

[edit]

On March 13, 2023, the National Republican Congressional Committee released their target seat list which included Democratic-held seats and open seats.[5] The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also released its frontline members, which are bolded below, and the ones not bolded are seats targeted by the Republican committee but not in the Democratic committee frontline program:

  1. Alaska At-Large: Mary Peltola
  2. California 9: Josh Harder
  3. California 47: Open Seat
  4. California 49: Mike Levin
  5. Colorado 8: Yadira Caraveo
  6. Connecticut 5: Jahana Hayes
  7. Florida 9: Darren Soto
  8. Illinois 17: Eric Sorensen
  9. Indiana 1: Frank Mrvan
  10. Kansas 3: Sharice Davids
  11. Maine 2: Jared Golden
  12. Michigan 3: Hillary Scholten
  13. Michigan 7: Open Seat
  14. Michigan 8: Open Seat
  15. Minnesota 2: Angie Craig
  16. North Carolina 1: Don Davis
  17. North Carolina 13: Open Seat
  18. North Carolina 14: Open Seat
  19. New Hampshire 1: Chris Pappas
  20. New Mexico 2: Gabe Vasquez
  21. Nevada 1: Dina Titus
  22. Nevada 3: Susie Lee
  23. Nevada 4: Steven Horsford
  24. Ohio 1: Greg Landsman
  25. Ohio 9: Marcy Kaptur
  26. Ohio 13: Emilia Sykes
  27. Oregon 4: Val Hoyle
  28. Oregon 6: Andrea Salinas
  29. Pennsylvania 7: Susan Wild
  30. Pennsylvania 8: Matt Cartwright
  31. Pennsylvania 17: Chris Deluzio
  32. Rhode Island 2: Seth Magaziner
  33. Texas 34: Vicente Gonzalez
  34. Virginia 7: Open Seat
  35. Washington 3: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
  36. Washington 8: Kim Schrier

References

[edit]
  1. ^ RealClearPolitics
  2. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  3. ^ DDHQ/The Hill
  4. ^ RRobinson@DCCC.ORG (April 3, 2023). "DCCC Announces 2023-2024 Districts In Play". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Retrieved July 15, 2023.
  5. ^ "NRCC Announces 37 Offensive Pick-Up Opportunities to Grow GOP House Majority". NRCC. March 13, 2023. Retrieved July 15, 2023.

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Category ranges:
    • Tossup: <60% both candidates
    • Lean: ≥60%
    • Likely: ≥75%
    • Solid: ≥95%
  2. ^ Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert is running in Colorado's 4th congressional district.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h A new congressional map was enacted in February 2024, after the most recent publication of the Cook PVI.[citation needed]
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other parties combined.
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